MLB 2023 MVP odds

The MLB season begins on March 30, and with that in mind the MVP odds for both leagues are posted.

Let’s examine the players with the best odds, two for the AL MVP and two for the NL MVP.

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American League MVP Odds

2023 American League MVP Odds

Team
BetRivers BetRivers BetMGM BetMGM
Shohei Ohtani
Aaron Judge
Mike Trout
Julio Rodriguez
Yordan Alvarez
Vladimir Guerrero Jr
Jose Ramirez
Rafael Devers
Kyle Tucker
Adley Rutschman
Bo Bichette
Corey Seager
Wander Franco
Byron Buxton
George Springer
Luis Robert
Carlos Correa
Alex Bregman
Marcus Semien
Giancarlo Stanton

Shohei Ohtani (+200)

The favorite for AL MVP is Angels two-way player Shohei Ohtani, and for good reason. In 2022, Ohtani finished second in MVP voting and fourth in Cy Young voting as he delivered solid seasons on the mound and at the plate. Despite an increase in average, Ohtani’s home runs and RBIs dropped from his MVP 2021 season.The .273 batting average is solid, but not one of the best, the 34 homers are some of the most but Ohtani failed to reach 100 RBIs.

In July, Ohtani hit a meager .224 with 5 home runs and 13 runs batted in, which hindered his case for MVP as his lowest average barring the last five games of the season, he routinely hit .247 or better. Ohtani started slow on the mound as his April record of 2-2 with a 4.19 ERA was his highest in any month.

Odds must believe he will bounce back in both facets of the game. The presence of Mike Trout in the lineup as the center fielder was limited to 119 games. Thus if Trout is back, there is a better chance Ohtani gets more RBIs

Ohtani possesses incredible skill on the mound and in the box. With huge contributions like that he does the work of a Cy Young and a silver slugger in one.

Aaron Judge (+500)

Judge posted insane numbers in 2022. He launched 62 home runs, hit .311 and drove in 131. He hit .257 in June, which marked his lowest average in a full month. Judge struggled in October, in five games he hit .188 and struck out seven times in 16 at-bats.

The case for Judge to win MVP lies in his ability to hit for power. As evidenced by his previous two seasons, he hit 39 and 62 homers, respectively. In the shortened 2020 season, he played 28 games and launched nine bombs. Moving forward the key will be his health.  In 2018 and 19, he failed to play in 120 games. With 28 games in 2020 he faced injuries too. Furthermore, he needs to drive in more RBIs as he eclipsed 100 only twice in his career.

He can hit home runs with the best of them, but he needs to be a more consistent run producer in other ways than the long ball. This 2022 season represented a huge leap forward for the center fielder, and if he puts up similar numbers than he is MVP material.

National League MVP Odds

2023 National League MVP Odds

Team
BetMGM BetMGM
Juan Soto
Mookie Betts
Ronald Acuna Jr
Fernando Tatis Jr
Paul Goldschmidt
Trea Turner
Manny Machado
Nolan Arenado
Freddie Freeman
Pete Alonso
Austin Riley
Francisco Lindor
Matt Olson
Xander Bogaerts
Kyle Schwarber
Michael Harris II
Bryce Harper
Jazz Chisolm Jr
Oneil Cruz
Ozzie Albies

Juan Soto (+500)

Juan Soto faced a down year in 2022, a .242 average with 27 homers and 62 runs batted in. This shows the potential of the young star, and how great he’s played previously. Since debuting, Soto consistently hit above .280 until 2022. With the exception of the COVID-19 season, he drove in more than 60 RBIs, and that is with the down 2022.

He developed keen eye as evidenced by his walks being higher than his strikeouts since 2020. Despite the .242 batting average he posted a .401 on base percentage (OBP), another stat he routinely excels in. In three of his past four seasons he posted in the top-10 in OBP. In 2020 and 2021, he led the league in that category.

A full season in San Diego may give Soto more RBI opportunities and more protection in the lineup. Whereas in the final games for Washington he was the only real threat in the lineup. Now, he is slotted in a batting order that owns multiple power bats and run producers.  Soto owns the exceptional bat to hit for average, and the uncanny ability to get on base, if he gets a full season with the Padres he can sure be MVP.

Mookie Betts (+800)

Speaking of players that benefit from a potent lineup, Mookie Betts of the Dodgers is such a player. Typically he batted leadoff for the dangerous Los Angeles lineup, but he posted solid numbers throughout. In 2022, he hit .269 with 35 HRs and 82 RBIs. The top five in the order for LA hit .260 or better throughout the season, so Betts slotted at the top of some of the best hitters in the game.

But the departure of Trea Turner may open opportunities for Betts and other bats alike. Betts needs to become a bigger run producer as he failed to eclipse 100 RBIs since 2017. One of the more consistent bats in the game, Betts hits for .260 or better every year. In 2018, Betts posted an incredible .346, and it would take another huge year like that to garner votes.

It is possible when he plays in one of the best lineups in baseball.