If styles do in fact make fights, tonight’s Welterweight Championship fight figures to be a dandy. You have the slugger in Victor Otiz who has knocked down his opponent in every fight he’s ever fought. You have the ultimate boxing technician in unbeaten Floyd “Money May” Mayweather. “Star Power” takes place tonight in Las Vegas at the MGM Garden. Mayweather is a -625 favorite at Bodog. Ortiz is +425 on the takeback.
The son of Mexican migrant workers, Ortiz started boxing at the insistence of his alcoholic father. Ortiz was forced into the Kansas foster care system at ten years old. He won the Kansas Golden Gloves before moving to Denver with his sister when she became an adult. Ortiz was noticed by former heavyweight Ron Lyle and started training under Roberto Garcia, the trainer of Fernando Vargas. Ortiz had an outstanding amateur career and fought in the Olympic Trials.
Ortiz is 29-2-2 as a pro with his only “real” loss coming when he was stopped on cuts by Marcos Maidana on July 27, 2009. Ortiz was DQ’d early in his career for hitting in the clinch and his two draws were controversial decisions in fights that he dominated. Ortiz is coming off his best fight, a 12-round unanimous decision over previously unbeaten Andre Berto winning the WBC Welterweight title.
Some quick notes about “Viciuous” Victor Ortiz. Otiz is 24 years old. He’s fought 33 fights for 135 rounds. He’s knocked out 66.7% of his opponents. Ortiz has gone 12 rounds once, 10 rounds five times. Ortiz has fought 25 rounds in the last year, 62 rounds in the last 36 months. It’s been 5 months and 14 days since his last fight.
Undefeated six-time World Champion Floyd Mayweather needs no introduction and fights tonight off a 16-month layoff, the second longest of his storied career. Ten years older than Ortiz, “Money May” is 41-0 with 25 wins coming by knockout. That said, Mayweather has just one knockout in six fights (Ricky Hatton) since 2005. Mayweather will make an estimated $20 million for this fight and a win here would set up the much talked abount dream matchup with Manny Pacquiao.
Mayweather fast facts include 41 fights for a grand total of 299 round. Money May has knocked out 61% of his opponents. Pretty Boy has gone 12 round 12 times and 10 rounds 16 times. Mayweather has not fought in the last 12 months and has just 24 round over the last 36 months.
Keys to the fight and Sportsbetting3’s analysis
In any fight regarding Floyd Mayweather, you always ask yourself if the other guy can win. Can Victor Ortiz win ??? Yes. He has the cliche punchers chance. Ortiz is young, well skilled, a southpaw, and has power with both hands. That said, he’s facing arguably the best technician in boxing history and he’ll be forced to eat a lot of ratta-tat-tat leather to put himself in a position to throw. Mayweather will cut off all his angles and is virtually impossible to hit. Mayweather was rocked one of the few times in his career by Shane Mosely in the second round of his last fight but was resilient enough to capture a lopsided unanimous decision.
Ortiz will eat a lot of leather as he tries to cut the distance between himself and Mayweather. It remains to be be seen how Ortiz will react to a guy that sticks and is gone. Will Ortiz lose his heart and determination if he’s unable to connect early on ??? We’ll see. Mayweather has fought off layoffs before and has always been sharp. Ring rust will not be a factor here.
In the end, Sportsbetting3 like Floyd Mayweather to win an easy unanimous decision losing a couple of rounds at most and possibly pitching a shutout. Mayweather by decision is currently -150 at Bodog and might be the value play here. Good luck and endjoy the fight.