Cincinnati at Baltimore Under 40.5
The jury is still out on on whether or not the Bengals are legit and Ravens are as dependable as rain during the growing season but …. what we do know for certain is that these are two of the premier defenses in the NFL and points will be tough to come by. In fact, the Bengals have covered the last four meetings between these two division rivals with all four games going UNDER the total, the average score (17-14, 17-7, 15-10, 7-13 Cinn) being 14-11. You won’t find any techs that back the under here but these two allow just 304 and 283 ypg respectively and these offenses won’t ever be confused with Air Coryell. Play the Under.
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Jacksonville at Cleveland Under 34.5
NFL offense could be set back 50 years with this matchup. The Jacksonville Jaguars are avgg just 12.8 ppg on 243 total yards a game while their stout defense seems to keep them in most games allowing just 18.4 ppg while allowing just 296 ypg. Colt McCoy and the Browns are not much better avgg 14.6 ppg on 292 ypg while allowing 20.2 ppg on 306 yards. Jacksonville has Maurice Jones Drew while Cleveland’s only semblence of a playmaker at this point is Josh Cribbs. The under is 8-1 in Jag games this year and 15-4 low over time when Jax plays losing records. The Browns are 6-3 under this year and 9-2 low in their L11 as a dog. This is gonna be 60 minutes of ground and pound and you could slap on Penn State/Nebraska unis on these two and not know the difference. Play the Under.
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Oakand -1 over Minnesota
Carson Palmer looked plenty comfortable as the Raider QB in last week’s dominating win over the Bolts. Yu would figure that things can only get better against a Vike defense that was just shredded by the Packers and is on a short week. Bruising Michael Bush has been more than an adequate replacement for Run DMC who continues to hurt with a bad foot. Strangely enough, the Black and Silver have done their best work with suitcase where they are 4-0 the way we keep (ATS) score. The Raiders have also outgained five of their last six opponents which has helped keep the defense fresh. Ponder still going through the learning curve and now he’s dinged. AP doing his best vs defenses with eight in the box. Oakland 28-17.
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Arizona at San Francisco Under 41.5
Both these defenses are in tremendous form. The Cardinals held Michael Vick and the Eagles to just 289 total yards pulling off the upset as a double-digit dog. The 49ers have been playing defense all year and the stop unit is the primary reason that San Fran is 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS. That said, the offense has done just enough to get wins and Alex Smith gets enough leash to not not make any killer mistakes. The Under is 3-1 in the 49ers L4 and the the Cards have avgd just 9.5 ppg in the last four series meetings. It doesn’t matter if it’s Kolb or Skelton for the Cards. The 49ers are what they are and will be happy to win this with two touchdowns and two FGs. Play the Under.
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