Derby Day, Mayweather vs Cotto, NHL, NBA, MLB + Free Plays for Saturday, May 5, 2012

The 138th Run for the Roses

Saturday’s Kentucky Derby is one of the most wide open in recent memory with 6-8 horses with a legitimate shot to win. Bodemeister was the morning line favorite but Union Rags is the early betting favorite. With the weather expected to be hot and dry, conditions will be almost perfect for the 20 three-year-old colts going to post.

There is a ton of early speed in this race and there figures to be a cavalry charge to the first turn. Trinniberg, a 50-1 longshot will likely be the rabbit with Hansen, Bodemeister, Take Charge Indy, Gemologist, and I’ll Have Another forcing the pace up front. Union Rags, Dullahan, and Alpha will look to be well placed in the second tier and pick up the pieces as the tired ones turn for home.

In the end, Sportsbetting3 is picking No.5 Dullahan to close fastest of all and run down No.15 Gemologist with No.4 Union Rags third, and No.11 Alpha completing your Superfecta.

Kentucky Derby race analysis from our friends at Bookmaker

Mayweather vs Cotto

The Cinco de Mayo holiday weekend is always big in boxing and 2012 in no exception as Miguel Cotto faces Floyd Mayweather, Jr. for Cotto’s belt at 154 pounds.”Money May” is a -700 favorite with Cotto +550 on the take back. The round prop at Bovada is 9.5 with the over -280 and the under +195. The unusually strong undercard features Saul “Canelo” Alvarez vs Shane Mosely and another battle of (154) light-middleweights. Alvarez is -900 with ducats on Mosely getting +550 in return.

The official weigh-in

Celtics win in OT, 76ers win with big 4th quarter, Nuggets blitz Lakers

Friday night in the NBA playoffs, it took an extra five minutes but the Celtics finally took care of the Hawks. Rajon Rondo became the first player in NBA history to record a triple-double after missing a game by suspension Rondo had 17/14/12 in Boston’s 90-84 OT victory. The Celtics lead the series 2-1. It was shades of the Clippers in Philly’s 79-74 win over the Bulls. The 76ers closed the game on a 23-5 run hitting 7-14 shots while the Bulls went 0-10. Spencer Hawes led Philly with 21/9 scoring 10 of those points in the final push. The top-seeded Bulls now trail the series 2-1 and are 0-2 since losing Derrick Rose for the season. The Nuggets held serve using a 19-0 run to spank the Lakers 99-84. Denver led 55-39 at half but saw the lead shrink to four before extending late. JaVale McGee had a big night with 16 points and 15 rebounds off the bench for Denver.

In Saturday’s playoff action, the Pacers are -5 (181) at Orlando in a 2:05 PM EST matinee. Indiana leads the series 2-1 winning two straight after losing Game I at home. At 4:35 PM EST, the Clippers are minus three against the Grizz, the total 186 1/2. The teams split the first two game in Memphis. Oklahoma City is -1.5 (193.5) in one hand and has a broom in the other as the Thunder can sweep the defending champs tonight in Dallas. The Mavs look to avoid becoming the first team to get swept in their first round series after winning the championship the year before. The Spurs (-6, 202) can take a 3-0 lead in their series with the Jazz. San Antonio won the first two games 106-91 and 114-83 in Alamo City.

Coyotes blank Preds 1-0 to go up 3-1

A Shane Doan goal at 14:25 of the first period was all the Phoenix Coyotes needed to skate to a 1-0 win at Nashville and take a commanding 3-1 series lead over the Predators. Mike Smith pitched the shutout for the Desert Dogs by stopping 25 shots. Phoenix has not allowed a road power play goal in the playoffs. The Coyotes can end the series at home on Monday.

The Rangers and Caps are back at it Saturday in Game IV of their series. The Caps are -115 favorites with the total five flat and the under -150. The teams basically played a double-header on Wednesday with the Rangers winning late in the third OT. Fourteen of the last 18 playoff games played between these two have gone to overtime.

Rays beat Oakland 7-2 to go to MLB best 19-8

Don’t look now but the Tampa Bay Rays have the best record in baseball. David Price improved to 5-1 by throwing eight innings of one-run three-hit ball as the Rays clubbed Oakland 7-2. The Rays are now 13-1 at home and drew 18,799 for the Friday night game after not drawing ten thousand in any of their their three game sweep of Seattle. Yes, the Trop is a hole and hard to get to but fans better start supporting this team or they’ll be on the move.

There may not be a more hard luck pitcher in the majors than the Angels Ervin Sanatana. The Halo righty dropped to 0-6 after the Angels 4-0 loss to the Jays and became the first pitcher in MLB history to have his team get shut out in five straight outings. Albert Pujols homerless drought is now 33 games and 137 at bats. He’s hitting a paltry .194 with just five RBIs.

Tiger misses the cut at Quail Hollow

Nick Watney shot a scalding 8-under 64 to take a one-shot lead in the Wells Fargo Open at Quail Hollow. Webb Simpson in one back after shooting a 68. Stewart Cink, Ben Crain, DA Points, and John Senden are tied at 10-under, two back. Tiger Woods shot a 73 and was even par for the tournament, not good enough to make cut. It was just the eighth time in his career that Tiger didn’t make the cut (97%) and the first time he has failed to make the cut in the same (Quail Hollow) tournament. Phil Mickelson shot 71/72 to survive to play over the weekend.

Free Plays

(NBA) San Antonio -5.5 over Utah

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(NHL) NY Rangers +108 over the Washington Capitals

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(MLB) Philadelphia (Worley)/Washington (Gonzalez) Under 6.5 -115

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(MLB) NY Mets (Santana) -155 over Arizona (Corbin)

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