Saturday, September 10, 2011
Nebraska -28.5 over Fresno State
The Pat Hill Fresno State mantra of “anyone, anytime, anyplace” is a thing of the past. The Bulldogs used to thrive in spots like these but the program has hit hard times of late. Last year, the Bulldogs played Ole Miss and Boise on the road and got whacked by a combined 106-38. Last week, Fresno played Cal on a neutral field (Candlestick Park) and was the sexy dog play for many touts. Despite having a huge crowd advantage, the Bulldogs were dominated 36-21 by a below average Golden Bear outfit getting outgained 413-210. The Huskers spanked Chatanooga in their opener and have a revenge matchup with Washington on deck. Nebraska can be strangled on offense when Martinez is not playing well but the blackshirts are nails on defense and should be up to the test in their home opener facing an offensive line featuring five newbies. Fresno will be life and death to get double-digits here so don’t mind laying four touchdowns in Lincoln with a team looking to get off to a fast start in their home opener.
UNLV and Washington State over 55.5
Despite the Cougars being 14-1 in their L15 non-conf home games, not interested in a side here. The High/Low however is a different story and we will be playing OVER the total. UNLV was dominated at Wisconsin last week as the Badgers scored on their first eight possessions. Wisky could have easily scored 70-80 points had Bielema not called of the dogs early. The Rebel offense is the strength of a young, rebuilding, but not very good team but they should be able to move the ball vs a Cougar outfit projected to finish last in the Pac 12 North. Wazzou was an easy 64-21 winner over Idaho State rolling up 590 yards but the 430 yards the Bengals passed for has to be considered a red light. Washington State QB Tuel is out with a broken clavicle but anyone serviceable should have little excuse moving the ball vs the Rebels. This final will closer to 70 than 50, play the Over.
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Carolina Panthers +7 over the Arizona Cardinals
The public has bet the Cardinals during the week like the game has already been played betting the opening line from Arizona -3 to laying a full touchdown now. The Panthers have won the last seven games in the series and are 4-0 (3-1 ATS) in their L4 trips to the desert. Carolina got one of their two wins last year in a 19-10 decison at Charlotte on December 12th. In that game, Shelton QB’s the Cards who were in the midst of losing eight of nine down the stretch. Kolb and Larry Fitzgerald clicked well in the preseason but if the Panthers rush for 270 yards like they did in 2009 or 170 like they did last year, Carolina can play defense on offense by keeping the Red Birds off the field. The Panthers didn’t win a road game last year but have a very real chance to win here. Take the points.
San Francisco and Seattle Under 37.5
Both teams were absolutely brutal on offense during the preseason. Aaron Smith has led a charmed life getting paid despite his poor play and it won’t be long before he’s replaced by Colin Kaepernick. The Taveris jackson guided Seahawk offense was good for just two TDs in four preseason games and faces a tough task against a staunch 49ers front seven. The final game in this divisional series ended 40-21 thanks to six Seahawk turnovers. The prior three games (37-37-33) al went under the total and featured just 505, 548, and 662 yards of total offense. Points figure to be very tough to come by here. Sportsbetting3’s recommendation is to play Under the total.
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