Syracuse +2 over UConn
The Orange came up flat last week at Louisville, somewhat predictable after the Cuse’s blowout win over West Virginia in front of a national TV audience. Syracuse has dropped the last four in the series, all by 17+ points, but these are teams headed in opposite directions. Syracuse has been competitive in all its starts, will have the best player on the field in QB, Nassib (65%, 16-4), and has been money off a loss going 10-4 vs the points. UConn can pretty much forget going bowling. The Huskies are avgg just 17 ppg in Big East play and are 119th (second to last) in the nation in sacks allowed. Sure Paul Paqualoni would love to beat program where he spent 14 years but he’ll have to wait till he can put out a better product. Wrong favorite here, Syracuse straight up.
New Mexico State +34.5 over Georgia
Don’t mind grabbing big points with quickly improving New Mexico State, the Aggies have covered five staight. None of the NMSU techs are very good but Walker regime has the Aggies on the right track led by QB Christian who threw for 432 and 3 TDs in loss to Nevada. Classic letdown spot for Georgia who comes off huge comeback victory over Florida and has key SEC game with Auburn on deck. The Dawgs are just 3-9 ATS after Florida and 1-4 ATS vs non BCS opponents during the second half of the year. Team on the rise worth a look with the big points worth a look vs team in classic “sandwich” situation that will be happy to get outa Dodge with a win.
Somebody figures to pay for the Badgers B2B heartbreaking losses, it might as well be Purdue. Wisky in best role as a bully, 9-1 in his L10 as a favorite of 9+ points. The offensively challenged Boilers have lost the last three in the series by 21+ points, are 1-4 ATS L5 on the Big Ten road. Russell Wilson still leads college football in passing efficiency and Ball still a monster in the short yardage redzone. Key point here is Purdue allowing the 186 per game on the ground in conference play and the Wisconsin 335 big uglies up front are about as good as it gets. The Badgers will probably have the ball 35-40 minutes in a 49-7 type of win.
Arizona -4 over Utah
The public got a litlle too high on the Wildcats in their last after Zona’s blowout win over UCLA fogetting that UA was 1-9 in their prior 10 with the win coming over Northern Arizona. Holes threw three key picks in the loss at UDub but the Cats have put together two pretty good performances since the firing of Mike Stoops. Utes off best game since BYU getting first Pac Ten win over Oregon State. Utah was near perfect in turning the Beavers over four times while only offensive weapon White rushed for 205 yards. The Cats are home and stack the box against no-pass at all Utah offense. Arizona really has no excuse to not win this bu double-digits. Take Arizona.