Colts at Ravens Over 41
Sure the Colts padded their stats last week at New England but their going to be able to pad their stats in every game the rest of the way. Dan Orlovsky had a big day for Indy going 30-37 for 339 but he is 0-8 as a starter in the NFL and has not won as a starter since the 2004 Motor City Bowl. The depleted Indy defense is allowing 29.8 ppg and Flacco and Co should be able to do pretty much what they want. Including playoffs, Balt is 0-7 in the L7 in the series so they won’t take the Peytonless visitors lightly. Both teams have combined to go 15-8-1 Over the total. Last week the Colts got 299 yards and three TDs in a blowout. Thye may very well get that here in a game that flies Over.
Texans at Bengals Under 38
Don’t want anything to do with the side here. The Texans have won and covered the last three in the series but are just 2-6 in L8 as a non-divisional road dog. By the same token, the Bengals are 1-7 in their L8 as a non-division home favorite. We know we have two pretty good defenses facing rookies in TJ Yates and Andy Dalton. The Texans are living on defense, even without Mario Williams. Did you ever think that Wade Phillips has made a huge difference in a positive way ever leave your lips ??? Lots of Foster/Tate vs Benson here in a game shorthened by both teams rushing the football. 17-13, 20-16, 16-14 all get us to the promised land. Play the Under.
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Denver -3.5 over Chicago
If you can’t beat them, join them! Why step in from of the Tim Tebow Express now as the Broncos are now 6-1 SU and ATS with Tebow calling the shots. The Broncs are home against a Bear team in freefall without a QB and now without only big play threat in Matt Forte out with knee issues. In the horse industry, when a horse finishes back and someone asks what you got, you’d say “hot”. Caleb Hanie has been getting “hot” for the Bears producing just 23 points and throwing six picks as a starter. Denver will just jam Chitown with 16-play eight minute drives and cruises to 26-10 type of win.
San Diego -6 1/2 over Buffalo
It’s that time of year again. The Chargers have been all but effectively eliminated from the playoffs and then make their last November/December run to backdoor a payoff spot or show enough to look to the next year as “OUR” year. Running the table won’t save Norv Turner’s ass this year but Monday night was the first time all year that San Diego has looked like the Bolts we all know and love. The Bills have lost five straight and the Buff offense is now suddenly toothless without Freddie Jackson. San Diego is just 1-5 ATS at home but can’t make any case whatsoever for Bill outfit playing fourth roadies in five weeks and traveling three time zones East to West to boot. Lay it with the homies.