New Orleans -7 over Minnesota
The Saints have won and covered five straight and their are several reasons to expect a big effort from the Whodats here. Firstly, New Orleans is playing for a first round bye and at the moment they would lose tiebreaker to the 49ers. They could also get a Viking monkey off their back as they lost five straight in the Metrodome and haven’t won in the Twin Cities since 1993. Third and finally, Brees on track (5300+) to shatter Marino’s yardage record and he couldn’t find a better secondary to throw against. Joe Webb gave Vikes a spark lat week but Minny is in no Shape to trade points with motivated Saints here. New Orleans without question a different team on the road but still 14 points better than the homies. New Orleans 33-20.
Seattle at Chicago Under 35.5
The Bears are 0-3 with Caleb Hanie and it’s easy to see why. They can’t score. In fact, they have one touchdown in their L27 drives which includes 16 three-and-outs. The Bears are also an unbelievable 2-26 in their L28 third downs. Want to pay Matt Forte now ??? Seattle is 7-2-1 L10 as a dog and have already won a West to East trip this year beating the Giants but prefer the High/Low on the short work week. In their two games without Cutler/Forte the Bear scores have been 3-10 and 10-13. With same MO as the Chiefs and Broncos, Seattle will look to pound the rock with Lynch making this a game of field position, turnovers, and special teams. Kickers could be on parade but that won’t produce five touchdowns with of points. Make this one 13-10 and forget it. Play the Under.
Tennessee at Indy Under 41
In an unusual quirk, the last four Titan games ended 23-17, 23-17, 23-17 and 22-17 …. all four below today’s posted opening total. The Titans last seven games all went under the total. Tennessee beat Indy 27-10 in Week Eight with the turning points coming on a blocked punt for a touchdown. It was arguably the Colts best effort of the year as they were able to rush for 158 yards. They won’t get that here and Tennessee who will likely be going with Jake Locker, will be rushing the ball with a resurgent Chris Johnson. The Under is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in the series, 4-1 in the L5 and those all came with Peyton. Tennessee still very much alive for a wildcard puts on lockdown while running the clock and the ball with CJ2K. Play the Under.
Cincinnati -6 over St Louis
The Bengals had their playoff hopes ripped from their chest with last week’s final play loss to the the Texans. It was their fourth loss in five games. That said, if Cincinnati was ever going to get healthy, it would be against and awful Ram outfit on a short work week. The Bengals are 6-1 ATS vs non-division opponent this year and were given the blueprint on how to beat the Rams Monday night by the Seahawks. Just pound and pound with Cedric Benson and then pick your spots downfield with Andy Dalton, precisely where the rookie from TCU is at his best. The Bengal defense brings it every week and if you throw out Saints shocker, the Rams are 0-5 SU and ATS at home losing by a 26-11 average. Cincinnati may be on life support but it has no excuse here.