It’s getting down to the nitty gritty now with teams playing for byes, home fields, division titles, wildcards and draft picks. This year’s schedule is loaded with division games in the final two weeks in an attempt to get everyone to play all 16 games. All tie-breakers start with H2H, division, and conference play so you would do yourself well to not lay down the final few weeks like the Colts often did.
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Kansas City -1.5 over Oakland
By the way the Chiefs seemed to react to interim HC Romeo Crennel in last week’s upset of the Packers, KC’s improved play may not be a one week thing. The offense obviously responded to Kyle Orton in his first start as a Chief as the ex-Bear/Bronco threw for 299 yards and the team as a whole roled to 483 total yards. KC won the first go round 28-0 in Week Seven, Kyle Boller geetting his only Rayda start and throwing a pick six on the second play. These are bitter division rivals that take it all the way back to the 60s. The Raiders have won their last four visits to Arrowhead but this is their fifth roadie in seven weeks and off last weeks debacle vs Detroit, may be out of steam. The Chiefs theoretically still have a chance and like they say in poker, all you need is a chip and a chair. Kansas City 27-17.
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Jacksonville at Tennessee Under 40.5
Tennessee got smoked by a fired up Colts team last week putting their playoff hopes on a respirator. The Jags won 16-14 to open the season with Jacksonville outrushing the Titans 163-43 and converting eight of 11 third downs. CJ2K was ineffective just having signed but after a pretty good four week run he was shut down cold last week at Indy. Not real interested in a side here as Jags 1-4 as a road dog and Tennessee just 2-4 as a home fave. Thinking both teams will look to establish the run with their lone playmakers and that this will be an instant replay of the defensive street fight in Jax. Play the Under.
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NY Giants at NY Jets Under 46.5
It’s the battle of the Meadowlands with playoff spots on the line for both teams. Both teams off horrific losses last week, the G-Men to the Skins down 17-0 off the git go, the Jets down 28-0 after 20 minutes and never in it. Both team have struggled defensively with Big Blue allowing 46 ppg in their last four, Gang Green not what its been the last two years and ripped by Vick and the Eagles last week. Why play the Under ??? Both teams are still primarily ground oriented and it wouldn’t be surprising to see both teams go their bread and butter and just rush the ball in a battle of wills. Rex will try to minimize the possibility of Sanchez beating you with a turnover. Coughlin may go to the big dog Brandon Jacobs. I went to a Jets/Giants game 30+ years ago that ended 10-9. It was so bad that Jimmy Hoffa got up out of the end zone and walked out. We’ll likely see more than 19 points today but not 47. Play the Under.
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San Diego +2.5 at Detroit
The Chargers are making their patented December run although for the second year in a row, it’s probably too little too late. The Bolts are playing their best ball of the year and have won three straight scoring 109 points scoring 13 touchdowns in their L27 drives. The Lions can clinch a playoff spot with a win here but have their work cut out for them. The key to the game is the Lions offense. Motown is 9-0 when they score 24+ points, 0-5 when they dont. So Cal has given up just 54 points (13.5 ppg) in their last four. Like San Diego straight up in a game that figures to be a shootout.
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