Michigan -29 over Eastern Michigan
The EMU’s are getting a lot of love from the rags this week but not from us. Sure the Eagles are off B2B 300 yard rushing performances but they were against Howard and Alabama State. Now the Wolverine defense isn’t much but it is slightly improved over the the RichRod teams and Big Blue does face a team that has lost 18 straight to the Big Ten and currently on a 3-9 ATS run. Eastern Mich is just 6-15 vs points the L5 years in non-conf action and 2-9 in their L11 getting 20+ points. Denard Robinson figure to get off fast and gain confidence with every possession. Expect 400-500 yards of total offense from the Ann Arbor Heisman hopeful. Won’t make it a habit of laying four TDs with a team as defensively challenged as the Maize and Blue but won’t pass on a probale big time crush shot here. Lay the points.
Navy/South Carolina Over the Total of 57.5
Many pundits are using the Midshipment as this week’s popular upset pick. Not interested in a side here but points should be A-Plenty here. The Gamecocks are fast and athletic but the Navy misdirection option feeds on teams like this and while Navy will be outmanned across the front, they will have some success. South Carolina has given up 781 yards and 79 points to this point and face an unknown quantity here. That said, the Gamecock offense has generated 845 yards and 101 against East Carolina and Georgia and have been opportunistic with points off of 11 turnovers. Putting South Carolina is the mid-40’s or better, Navy won’t need to do much to hold up their end of the bargain. Play the Over.
Steelers -14 over Seattle
The Seahawks have the unenviable task of traveling to Pittsburg after the Steelers were mauled at Baltimore. Pitt was just outright awful last week fumbling a franchise record SEVEN times. The Ravens racked up 20 points off those turnovers and Ray Rice beacme just the second back in 51 games to rush for 100 yards against the Steelers. Tomlin always has his team sharp off a loss and today they’ll face a Seattle team that is 2-9 ATS on the road under Carroll. Making the spot doubly tough for the SHawks is the 3-TZ travel West to East and the fact that this is the Steelers only home game in September with the Peyton-less Colts on deck. This is a big big impost but expecting every aspect of the Steeler game to be near perfect here. Lay it.
Cincinnati/Denver Over 39.5
Gradkowski or Dalton ….. cha, cha, cha. The Bengals are better than previously thought and regardless who is call the shots, Cincinnati has enough weapons (Benson, Shipley, Julio Jones, Grisham) to produce some points. The Broncos rushed for only 38 yards in their MNF loss to the Raiders. Kyle Orton wasn’t able to get the passing game going until too late but he’ll be likely airing it out here. Denver on an 8-2 Over run as a favorite and over time the High is 70-44 when the Broncos are faveored by about a touchdown. Not interested in the side as the Bengals winning B2B road games is almost inconceivable and the Broncos just 1-12 the l13 times they’ve layed six or more. These are not two offensive juggernaughts but should get this very manageable 39 1/2. Play the Over.