Colts +9 over Tennesee teams are coming off crushing defeats. The Colts were lambasted 62-7 in front of a Sunday night national TV audience in New Orleans. The Titans were crushed 41-7 at home by the injury riddled Houston Texans. The old adage of you’re never as good as you are when you win big and never as bad as you were when you lose big applies here. The Colts are definitely in the hunt for Andrew Luck but as bad as their karma is, they won’t be getting spanked by 55 each week. Particularly from a team that has produced just 24 points and 454 net yards in their last two games. The Titans will likely try to get Chris Johnson untracked and the Colts will likely try to run the ball any way they can to minimize the possibility of any Curtis Painter mistakes. This could be a 24-20, 23-17, 27-21 type of game but don’t see the Colts losing by double-digits. Grab the points.
Baltimore -12 over Arizona Ravens rocks an incredible 33-8 ATS record in their L41 as a home favorite vs non-division opponents. It will definitely be hard to trust them off the MNF loss to the Jags but lets remember that the Black Birds have won four games by 12+ points. Kevin Kolb is doing nothing for the Cards who are on a current 2-11 ATS run with suitcase and this week catch a Baltimore outfit that will undoubtedly be in a foul mood. The Ravens have already crushed the Steelers, Texans, and Jets in their home games and they should handle outmanned Arizona with little problem. Baltimore 34-10.
New England at Pittsburg Under 52 Steelers have struggled on the defensive end but mainly against the run. This version of the Steel Curtain is still nails vs the pass and capable of making Brady dink and dunk his way down the field. With Mendenhall back in the fold, it would be logical to think that Pittsburg will also play defense on offense by playing ball control, establishing the run and shortening the game. With both team trying to run the ball and keeping everything in front of them, the clock will be running and every possession a premium. Brady is 6-1 vs the Steelers but Pitt is 5-1 L6 as a home dog so not really interested in a side. Playoff intensity play on both sides keeps this one well Under the posted 52.
Cincinnati at Seattle Under 37.5
Seattle comes home off their memorable 6-3 loss last week at Cleveland. In that game, the Seahawks rushed the ball 17 times for 65 yards and Charlie Whitehurst was 12-30-2 for 72 yards. Not so sure that Seattle can produce much more against a top three defense in the NFL. That’s right, the Bengal defense has been their best unit and and has somehow allowed a team with a rookie QB go 4-2. Dalton will be short a weapon as Cedric Benson serves a one-game suspension. Brian Leonard and Bernard Scott will carry the mail. The punters had better get plenty of rest as both figure to be busy today. Play the Under.