Cental Michigan at Akron Over the Total of 50
The Chip defense is a mash unit and doesn’t stop much allowing 33.4 ppg on 409+ ypg. Fortunately for CMU, they can trade points with any of their MAC conference bretheren thanks to crafty QB Ratliff who has thrown for 787 yards and 6 TDs in his last two games. The Zips have picked it up a bit on offense scoring 60 points in their L3 against similar after scoring just 17 points in their three money games vs heavyweights. CMU will dictate play here and their L3 games have generated 58, 62, and 62 points. These are two of the ten worst defenses in college football and this one should go flying over the total. Play the Over.
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Penn State -5 over Illinois
The Nits took a half to figure out Dan Persia and pesky Northwestern but we know that the Penn State defense is one the nation’s elite. Penn State has quietly put together a 7-1 record with their only loss coming at Happy Valley to Alabama. No shame there. The Illini have averages just 118 ypg rushing in two losses after 6-0 start. They are yet to see a defense like this one and the Lion attack has a bit more bite with McGloin calling the shots. This is a true revenge game as the Illini won here 33-13 last year. You always have to hold your breath when laying points with (2-5-1 ATS) PSU but with a passing attack and some extra motivation, the Nits win by double-digits here.
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Colorado State at UNLV Over the Total of 48
You can put these two in a bottle, shake it up, and see who comes out first. Not interested in the side but both teams can score points against the other’s matador defense. The Rams are allowing 31 ppg on 417 ypg. Their points against would be considerable higher if teams weren’t running so much clock rushing for more than 225 ypg. CSU showed some spunk last week holding UTEP to “just” 31 points but the Miners did rush the ball for 343 yards on just 36 carries. The Rebels are giving up 41 ppg and yield to a stiff breeze. UNLV does their best work at home in Sam Boyd Stadium and the young Rebs won’t have a better chance to succeed than this. With a couple of breaks and turnovers, these two could easily put up 70 points. Play the Over.
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Auburn -12 over Ole Miss
The Tigers got rolled as expected at LSU last week but figured to rebound here vs Ole Miss outfit that has lost 10 straight SEC tilts and blew a 17-point lead to Arkansas last week. Auburn struggling with injuries at QB and WR but generally find a way to get it done in the games they should win. Lots of heat on Houston and the Nuthuggers. Two years ago Auburn entertained as a 5-point dog and upset the then 24th ranked Rebels 33-20. Last year, the Cam Newton led Tigers broke a 14-14 tie with 30 straight points enroute to a 51-30 win. Auburn has always been a solid conference home favorite and we’ll give them the nod here.
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