UFC 133 Predictions: Saturday, August 6th, 2011, Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
A fight card pretty much doomed from the start takes place tonight in
Philadelphia as UFC 133 invades the Wells Fargo Center. Tito Ortiz
steps in for light-heavyweight champion Jon ‘Bones” Jones with just
five feeks notice to take on “Suga” Rashad Evans in the main event. The
co-feature is a battle of middleweights coming off losses as Vitor
Belfort takes on Yoshihiro Akiyama with the loser likely to be cut by
the UFC. The undercard is pretty strong with some intersting matchups
so here we go with Sportsbetting3s predictions on the Pay-For-View
portion of the card. Odds current at 12:00 Noon EST at Bodog.
Mike Pyle (+225) vs Rory McDonald (-285) Welterweights
Mike Pyle is a gizzled veteran riding a three-fight win streak and one
of just three fighters to beat Jon Fitch. McDonald is a top prospect
whose lone loss was to Carlos Condit and comes off a dominating win
over Nate Diaz. McDonald is the much stronger of the two and by far the
better wrestler. Thinking that McDonald will keep this on the ground
for as much of the 15 minutes as he can in grinding out an easy
Jorge Rivera (-155) vs Constantinos Phillipou (+125) Middleweights
Jorge Rivera is a 35-year veteran of the MMA wars and has a solid
resume of opponents. The problem is all losses to the top notch guys as
Rivera’s career nears it’s end. Tonight, it would seem Rivera gets a
bone, an easy touch, as he faces Matt Sera-trained Phillipou who lost
only UFC fight to Nick Cantone, taking the fight on a week’s notice.
Rivera puts the smaller man to sleep with well placed shot on the chin
to win by early KO.
Brian Ebersole (-115) vs Dennis Hallman (-115) Welterweights
Wow !!! 129 fights between these two guys and yes the odds are correct
with both men at -115. Amazingly enough, Ebersole has never been
knocked out in his 63 fights. He’s riding an eight-fight win streak
most recently beating Chris Lytle at UFC 127. Hallman owns two wins
over the great Matt Hughes and 38 of his 50 career wins have come by
submission. Ebersole has tapped 9X in his career so will call Hallman
by submission in a bettle of two “cagey” vets.
Vitor Belfort (-370) vs Yoshihiro Akiyama (+280) Middleweights
Not sure that both these guys might be somewhat overrated. Belfort
comes off KO loss to Anderson Silva when he was put to sleep with a
front kick inside of 30 seconds. Akiyama is off B2B losses to Leben and
Bisping and is one of the few Japanese fighters with an iron chin. The
loser here is probably done in the UFC, Akiyama for sure. Belfort does
have the lightning fast hands but is suspect to the flash KO himself.
We’ll take Akiyama on the “wounded animal is the most dangerous” theory
in the night’s major upset.
Rashad Evans (-400) vs Tito Ortiz (+300) Light-Heavtweights
Tito Ortiz saved his UFC life by choking out an ill-prepared Ryan Bader
in his last. He takes this fight on five weeks notice as a favor to
Dana after Jon Jones pulled out with an injury. Ortiz kills two birds
with one stone knowing he’ll get paid and not get jacked after this
loss. Rashad Evans comes in off a long layoff (14 months) after knee
surgery and also fights for the first time out of the Greg Jackson
camp. These two fought to a draw in the early part of Evans career but
he’s much better know even probably being hampered with cage rust. Tito
is tough but can’t see any scenario other than Evans winning by an easy
30-27 unanimous decision.