Parlay Bet Explained

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Parlay Betting Explained

Are parlays a sucker’s bet? Parlay betting explained. Learn when to use parlays. Straight bets don’t reward winning bettors like parlays! Review payouts and odds. Know your parlay’s house edge. Consider making a Round Robin parlay bet.

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Definition of a Parlay Bet

Combine 2 or more spread, money line or total selections. Parlay wins if all selections win. Parlay loses if any selection loses.

Method

  1. Choose from multiple sports. Football, basketball, baseball and hockey are most popular.
  2. Select 2-15 spreads, money lines, totals or combinations of all three.
  3. All selections must be correct to win.
  4. A tie reduces parlay size by 1 selection. See tie rules below.

Specs

Popular Exotic Bet. Football, basketball, baseball and hockey parlays are most popular.

Fixed payouts apply to standard odds (-110) selections. See tables below. Payouts vary with non-standard odds. Rounding may alter final amount.

Maximum payout rules apply. Most sportsbooks limit single payouts to $100,000-$150,000.

Prohibited:

  • Futures and props. Other exotic bets.
  • Both sides of same bet. Example: Combine the over and under for same game.
  • Baseball 5th inning lines.
  • Spreads and money lines for same team from same game. Includes different game segments.
  • Correlated 1st half, 2nd and full game parlays. Spreads and Money Lines for full game with 1st half totals might be permitted.

Example

Football & Basketball 3 Selection Parlay
Includes Non -110 Odds

Assume -110 when juice isn’t specified.

1st Game 2nd Game 3rd Game
49ers -2½
Panthers 35		 Saints -140
Texans +120		 Celtics 212
Clippers -5½

Bettor makes 3 selection $100 parlay

  1. 49ers -2½ Spread.
  2. Texans +120 Money Line.
  3. Celtics vs. Clippers Over -110.

Texans +120 Money Line contains non-standard odds. Payout is calculated using true odds. See formula below.

Bets wins $701.82 if successful. Final number may round differently.

Football 2 Selection Parlay
Standard Odds

1st Game 2nd Game
Giants -6½
Rams 41½		 Broncos -3
Seahawks 51

Bettor makes 2 selection $100 parlay

  1. Rams +6½
  2. Broncos -3

Parlay contains standard odds. Payout calculated using fixed odds. See parlay card below.

Bets wins $260 if successful.

How It Works

Each selection wins, loses or ties according to game outcome.

  1. Parlay wins if all selections win.
  2. Parlay loses if any selections lose.

Tie Rules

  • Each tie reduces parlay size by 1 selection.
  • Any selection graded No Action reduces parlay by 1 selection.
  • Subtract all tie selections from parlay size to determine updated payout amount.

Example: 4 selection parlay with 2 ties becomes a 2 selection parlay. 8 selection parlay with 3 ties becomes a 5 selection parlay. Instances of multiple ties are not common.

  • Payout is determined from remaining number of selections.
  • Parlays reduced to 1 selection become straight bets.

Less common: Parlays reduced to 0 selections tie.

3 Selection Parlay from above

Suppose Celtics vs. Clippers score is exactly 212. The over 212 total would tie.

The parlay would reduce to 2 selections. 49ers -2½ and Texans +120 remain.

Bet wins $320 if these 2 selections are correct.

2 Selection Parlay from above

Suppose Broncos -3 wins by exactly 3. This would tie the spread.

The parlay reduces to 1 selection. Rams +6½ remains.

Parlay becomes a straight bet. Bet wins $90.91 if Rams cover the spread.

Pros And Cons

Pros

  • Parlay payouts are much higher than separate straight bets.
  • Bet small amounts to win larger payouts. Ideal for those with limited bankrolls. Or those with extra cash for fun bets.
  • Parlays can be more profitable than straight bets. Bettors winning 55% or more can expect higher profits. See example below.

Cons

  • Parlays carry more risk than separate straight bets. One losing selection ruins entire bet. Separate straight bets allow room for error. This produces smaller percentage losses.
  • 5 or more selections have a negative value. Large parlay wins are rare. The house profits from these bets more than players.
  • Poor choice for bettors winning 50% or less. These bettors face higher negative expected value compare to separate losing straight bets. See example below.

Tips

  1. Sportsbooks occasionally offer modified parlay cards. These cards offer higher than normal payouts. See sportsbook promotions page.
  2. Bet parlays with true odds payouts. Fixed odds payouts are less than true odds.
  3. Keep parlays to 4 selections or less. It is rare to win large parlays. These bets do not justify the risk.
  4. Analyze football and basketball ATS trends. Combine multiple winning teams into a parlay.
  5. Combine Money Line favorites into a Parlay when juice is >-250. This parlay would risk less than separate straight bets.

Bets to Try

  1. Combine opposite side of straight bets into a parlay. Make money back with winning parlay if all straight bets lose.
  2. Round Robin Parlays. Bet multiple smaller parlays instead of one large one. Break selections into smaller combinations. Bet each combination separately. 3 selection parlay becomes 3 x 2 selection parlays. Only 1 of these parlays must win to profit. See example below.
  3. Bet heavy money line favorites in a 2 or 3 selection parlay. Separate straight bets would require more bankroll.
  4. College Basketball Home Underdogs. Combine 2 home underdog money line selections. Home court advantage often benefits home underdogs.
  5. College Basketball 1st Half Correlated Parlay. Look for large spread to small total ratios.
    Example: 25% correlation means 15 point spread to 60 point total (15/60 = 0.25). Bet 2 first half parlays: 1) Favorite and Over, 2) Underdog and Under. These are rare occurrences. Many sportsbooks prohibit correlated parlay betting.

Parlay Bet History

Parlay card betting preceded modern parlays. These cards surfaced in the USA during the late 1800s as sporting leagues organized. They were commonly found at early ball games and nearby bars.

The Progressive Movement of the early 1900s initially stunted the spread of parlay card betting. But the arrival of the roaring 1920s, professional football, and better organized gambling syndicates brought them back.

Nevada was the first state to fully legalize casino gambling in 1931. Despite this change, sports betting remained in the shadows. Most bets were illegal. Eventually it became better regulated. But not before many legal operators left the market due to a 1951 tax.

The tax decreased in October 1974. Legal sports betting operations became profitable again. Parlay bets modernized as sportsbooks competed with one another for business. Bettors still reference Parlay Cards for standard “Vegas Odds” before making their bets.

Other Names

  • Accumulator
  • Combo

Similar Bets

  • Teaser Bet
  • If Bet Win Only
  • Pleaser Bet
  • Reverse Bet

Parlay Betting Explained Tables and Reference

True Odds Parlay Payout Calculation

Bettor makes 3 selection $100 parlay:

  1. 49ers -2½ Spread
  2. Texans +120 Money Line
  3. Celtics vs. Clippers Over -110

Assume -110 when juice isn’t specified.

1. Calculate Multiplier for Each Selection.

True Odds Parlay Payout Calculation
Odds Calculation Example
Minus Odds
(Favorites)
  1. Drop – sign.
  2. Divide 100 by Odds.
  3. Add 1.
  1. -110 becomes 110.
  2. 100/110 = 0.9091
  3. 0.9091 + 1 = 1.9091
Plus Odds
(Underdogs)
  1. Drop + sign.
  2. Divide Odds by 100.
  3. Add 1.
  1. +120 becomes 120.
  2. 120/100 = 1.2
  3. 1.2 + 1 = 2.2

2. Multiply each multiplier together.

  1. 49ers -2½ Spread = 1.9091
  2. Texans +120 Money Line = 2.2
  3. Celtics vs. Clippers Over -110 = 1.9091

1.9091 x 2.2 x 1.9091 = 8.01825

3. Multiply product times bet amount. Then subtract bet amount to get payout.

$100 x 8.01825 = $801.83 – $100 = $701.83

Final payout amount may vary with rounding.

House Edge on Parlays

House Edge on Parlays
+ Taps out Payout on Mobile
Selections Actual Odds Usual Payout House Edge
2 3/1 2.6/1 10.00%
3 7/1 6/1 12.50%
4 15/1 10/1 31.25%
5 31/1 20/1 34.38%
6 63/1 40/1 35.94%
7 127/1 75/1 40.63%
8 255/1 150/1 41.02%
9 511/1 300/1 41.21%
10 1027/1 700/1 31.54%

Round Robin Parlay Table

Round Robin Parlay Table
Ways = Size of each individual parlay.
Total Parlays = Number of unique parlays in entire Round Robin.
Selections Number Ways Total Parlays
3 2 3
4 2 6
4 3 4
5 2 10
5 3 10
5 4 5
6 2 15
6 3 20
6 4 15
6 5 6
7 2 21
7 3 35
7 4 35
7 5 21
7 6 7
8 2 28
8 3 56
8 4 70
8 5 56
8 6 28
8 7 8

Example:
4 Selections, 2 ways makes 6 unique parlays.
A,B,C and D represent 4 different selections. Each selection must combine with the others, no duplicates.
A?B | A?C | A?D
B?C | B?D | B?A
C?D | C?B | C?A
(Note: D has already combined: A?D, B?D, C?D)
Total: 6 Parlays
Bet Cost: Total Parlays x Desired Amount.

Parlay vs Staight Bet Expected Value (EV), 1 Unit

Parlay vs Staight Bet Payout: 50% vs. 55% Performance
Bet 50% 55%
2 Straight Bets, -110 -4.545% 5%
2 Parlays, 13/5 -10% 8.9%

Conclusion: Increased parlay payouts benefit the winning bettor.

Calculations
W = Bettor Winning Percentage
S = Number Selections in Parlay
P = Payout Amount, number of selections
L = Losing Bet Amount in Units
Hint: Expected profit & loss is the difference between maximum possible win and maximum possible loss given a bettor’s win percentage.
Formula: WS x P – (1 – WS) x L

2 Straight Bets, -110
%Win Math %P&L
50% 0.5 x (100/110) – (1 – 0.5) x 1 =
0.45454 – 0.5 x 1 = -0.0454		 -4.54%
55% 0.55 x (100/110) – (1 – 0.55) x 1 =
0.50 – 0.45 x 1 = 0.05		 5%
2 Parlay Bets, 13/5
%Win Math %P&L
50% 0.52 x 13/5 – (1 – 0.52) x 1 =
0.65 – 0.75 x 1 = -0.10		 -10%
55% 0.552 x 13/5 – (1 – 0.552) x 1 =
0.7865 – 0.6975 x 1 = 0.089		 8.9%

Fixed Odds Parlay Table

Fixed Odds Parlay Table
# Selections Las Vegas Payout Offshore Payout
2 13/5 13/5
3 6/1 6/1
4 10/1 12.28/1
5 20/1 24.35/1
6 40/1 47.41/1
7 75/1 91.42/1
8 150/1 175.44/1

Sample Parlay Payouts, -110

Sample Parlay Payouts, -110
Parlay Size Payout
2 2.645/1
3 5.958/1
4 12.283/1
5 24.359/1
6 47.413/1
7 91.424/1
8 175.446/1
9 335.852/1
10 642.082/1
11 1226.701/1
12 2342.793/1

Required Reading

References


en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parlay_(gambling)
healthfully.com/calculate-money-line-parlays-7707555.html
bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/86310-Parlays-Pros-and-Cons
vegasinsider.com/nfl/story.cfm/story/1037055/
books.google.com/books?id=N-RMAgAAQBAJ&pg=PA429#v=onepage&q&f=false
lasvegasadvisor.com/question/sports-betting-history/

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