Mountain West Conference Win Totals

The 2021 preseason AP poll did not rank any Mountain West Conference schools, but in the end, both San Diego State and Utah State were in the top 25. Fresno State was also ranked during the course of the 2021 season, and although the Bulldogs did not finish the season in the top 25, they had the highest ranking of any MWC team at No. 18. Can any teams be big risers in the Mountain West? Maybe it will be the Boise State Broncos, who are projected to be the conference’s best team in 2022.

2022 College Football Mountain West Season Win Totals
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Air Force
2022 Season Win Total
Boise State
2022 Season Win Total
Colorado State
2022 Season Win Total
Fresno State
2022 Season Win Total
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Hawaii
2022 Season Win Total
Nevada
2022 Season Win Total
San Diego State
2022 Season Win Total
San Jose State
2022 Season Win Total
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UNLV
2022 Season Win Total
Utah State
2022 Season Win Total
Wyoming
2022 Season Win Total

Boise State

Although the Boise State Broncos were never ranked during the 2021 season, they are the favorites to win the Mountain West Conference this year. In Andy Avalos’ first season as the Boise State head coach (2021), the Broncos won seven games and were 5-3 in the conference. The experienced Boise State squad led by quarterback Hank Bachmeier and running back George Holani should finish above .500 yet again in 2022. However, the win total of nine games might be tough. If you have to take side here, the over is ok, but you should not be confident betting it.

Fresno State

The Bulldogs’ passing attack helped them to a 10-3 season and a strong 6-2 conference record. However, losses to Hawaii and Boise State led to Fresno State dropping out of the top 25. The Jake Haener-Jalen Cropper combination should be very strong for Jeff Tedford’s Fresno State squad. Tedford is back as the head coach after last coaching the Bulldogs in 2019. In 2017 and 2018, Fresno State had double-digit wins. The Bulldogs are looking strong for the over, so it is a go for the over on 8.5 wins.

Air Force

The Air Force Falcons also have an over/under win total of 8.5 games. They are not as strong of a Mountain West competitor this season even with the high over/under. It was Air Force’s defense that led the 2021 Falcons to a 10-3 (6-2) season. The Falcons were not ranked last season, but maybe they can reach the top 25 this time around. The over is looking great for Air Force this year with such an easy schedule.

San Diego State

The San Diego State Aztecs have a win total of 7.5 games for 2022, and Brady Hoke is looking for another strong season. The Aztecs finished 2021 with the best record among all 12 teams in the MWC: 12-2 (7-2). Yet, they are not even projected to finish in the top three of the conference this season. San Diego State will hope to ride its defense to another successful season, especially with the offense losing a lot of starters. The hope is that San Diego State can score enough and continue to be a powerhouse rush defense. It would be difficult to take the over on 7.5 games, so the safer move would be to consider the under for a team with less talent than last year.

Utah State

The Utah State Aggies’ win total for 2022 is just seven wins, and it is a similar situation to that of San Diego State. In 2021, the Aggies led the Mountain Division with an 11-3 record (7-2). The 11 wins overall and seven conference wins matched their most in school history. They could not be stopped last season, and they went on the road and even blew out San Diego State in December, 46-13. Quarterback Logan Bonner is back, and the hope is the offense can continue to succeed. However, the defense may be where the team struggles, so the under is the way to go.

San Jose State

The Spartans are expected to bounce back this year after a frustrating 5-7 season last year. Injuries hurt the team last season, so a healthy San Jose State could mean improvement. The win total is just 6.5 games for the Spartans. The play here is to go over in part because the defense can prevent large yardage. San Jose State had a strong 2020 season, so an impressive 2022 can definitely happen. Take the over.

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What is a College Football Win Total Bet?

The season win total is part prop, part future hybrid. The plus and minus values assign odds to either side of the team’s win total line. This bet functions like a total bet. Choose either over or under the sportsbook’s line.

Example Air Force Season Wins

  • 8.5 o -141
  • 8.5 u +115

This win total line includes ½ games. That means no tie bets are possible.

Options:
Risk $141 to win $100 that Air Force wins more than 8.5 games. A result of 9 or more wins.
Risk $100 to win $115 that Air Force wins less than 8.5 games. A result of 8 or fewer wins.

How to Handicap a College Football Win Total Bet

Handicap a college football team’s win total using its upcoming schedule, likely starters, and any recently transferred players. Remember, you can bet under the sportsbook’s line if the win total is too high. If you believe a team is likely to win fewer games, bet under a win total line that looks too high.

Avoid betting on your favorite college football teams or others that you otherwise root for. “Fan bias” is real. It can cloud the judgment of even the most seasoned sports handicappers. Better to research and bet on a team you don’t know much about.

Always consider both sides of a win total line. The line is set by the sportsbook. It may move as betting action piles up on one side more than the other. The team doesn’t have to “win” the exact win total line. Instead, you’re deciding whether their actual number of wins will be more or less than the sportsbook’s line.

Finally, be careful when betting whole number lines like 7, 8, or 9. A tie is possible when the sportsbook doesn’t set a .5 half-win line. The good news: you get your bet back if the bet pushes. The bad news: you tie up money in the bet waiting for a result.

College Football Betting Odds

Markets
Next 40 College Football Game Odds
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Game
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SMU
UCF
10/05/22 7:00pm EDT
Nebraska
Rutgers
10/07/22 7:00pm EDT
Houston
Memphis
10/07/22 7:30pm EDT
Colorado State
Nevada
10/07/22 10:30pm EDT
UNLV
San Jose State
10/07/22 10:30pm EDT
Texas A&M
Alabama
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Texas
Oklahoma
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Louisville
Virginia
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Arkansas
Mississippi State
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Purdue
Maryland
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Tennessee
LSU
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
TCU
Kansas
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Michigan
Indiana
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Missouri
Florida
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Buffalo
Bowling Green
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Utah
UCLA
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Oklahoma
Texas
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Auburn
Georgia
10/08/22 12:00pm EDT
Akron
Ohio
10/08/22 2:00pm EDT
Georgia Southern
Georgia State
10/08/22 2:00pm EDT
South Florida
Cincinnati
10/08/22 2:30pm EDT
Middle Tennessee
UAB
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Toledo
Northern Illinois
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Tulsa
Navy
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Ball State
Central Michigan
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Liberty
UMass
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Kent State
Miami (OH)
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
East Carolina
Tulane
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Texas Tech
Oklahoma State
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Wisconsin
Northwestern
10/08/22 3:30pm EDT
Ole Miss
Vanderbilt
10/08/22 4:00pm EDT
Ohio State
Michigan State
10/08/22 4:00pm EDT
North Carolina
Miami (FL)
10/08/22 4:00pm EDT
Duke
Georgia Tech
10/08/22 4:00pm EDT
Washington
Arizona State
10/08/22 4:00pm EDT
Western Kentucky
UTSA
10/08/22 6:00pm EDT
Air Force
Utah State
10/08/22 7:00pm EDT
Southern Miss
Troy
10/08/22 7:00pm EDT

College Football Betting Required Reading