The 2022-23 NBA season expects to be another great one, as there are plenty of teams in the mix for the 2023 title. Of course, the list is led by the defending champion Golden State Warriors, and you are not going to believe how close some of the teams are in terms of their win totals this season. The Warriors, Los Angeles Clippers, and Phoenix Suns all have win totals of 52.5. The other teams around the 50-win area are the Denver Nuggets (50.5) along with the Dallas Mavericks, Memphis Grizzlies, and Minnesota Timberwolves (each 48.5). The Los Angeles Lakers are not among the top teams in terms of win totals, as they are at just 45.5 victories. It will sure be interesting to see if the Lakers can compete and if the Warriors repeat.
BetMGM Bet |
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Mavericks
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Nuggets
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Warriors
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Rockets
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Clippers
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Lakers
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Grizzlies
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Timberwolves
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Pelicans
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Thunder
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Suns
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Blazers
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Kings
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Spurs
2024-25 Season Win Total | |
Jazz
2024-25 Season Win Total |
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors (52.5), who won 53 games last season, will have a bit of a new look this season, and that was before Draymond Green decided to get into a fight with Jordan Poole. Donte DiVincenzo, who won the championship with the Milwaukee Bucks in 2021, joins the Warriors along JaMychal Green and Ty Jerome as new additions to a Warriors team that lost Gary Payton II, Otto Porter Jr., and Nemanja Bjelica. However, it is the same splash brothers with Green, Poole, and Andrew Wiggins. This team cannot be counted out in the 2022-23 season, and projections are strong for Golden State. The slight over (-114) should be the way to go here but remember that injuries can creep up on this team.
Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers (52.5) won just 42 games last year, which was tied for the team’s lowest in the last decade. Kawhi Leonard did not play a game while Paul George played just 31 of them. Without their stars, the Clippers struggled and missed the postseason in Tyronn Lue’s second season as the head coach. Lue, who went 128-83 (.607) with Cleveland, is 89-65 (.578) to begin his Clippers career, and for his team to hit the over, Los Angeles will need a performance similar to its one in 2020-21. Leonard played 52 games while George played 54 that year and they won 47 of their 72 games (.653). Take the over (-117).
Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies (48.5) finished with the second-best record in the NBA last season (56-26), and that was still eight games worse than the league’s best Phoenix Suns (64-18). Ja Morant had a lot of impressive talent around him last season, but they did fall short in the playoffs in Taylor Jenkins’ third season with the squad. The Western Conference Semifinals loss was to the eventual champion Warriors, so we will see if the Grizzlies can make the jump this year. It will be interesting to see if their offensive rebounding and turnover creation can continue. If so, the over (-121) should be a good bet.
Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers (45.5) are in a similar situation this year, as LeBron James and Anthony Davis are hoping to lead the Lakers. They also once again have Russell Westbrook, who has not had a good history with new Laker Patrick Beverley. Last year, James played 56 games while Davis took part in just 40 contests, and therefore, it makes sense that the team won just 33 games. Westbrook was durable last year but he was far from efficient. Neither was Davis from 3-point land. If Davis’ shooting does not come back, the Lakers will not be able to compete for a title. However, look for a big Lakers trade at some point this season. The over is a strong play here. There is a reason why it is -129.
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What is an NBA Win Total Bet?
The season win total is part prop, part future hybrid. The plus and minus values assign odds to either side of the team’s win total line. This bet functions like a total bet. Choose either over or under the sportsbook’s line. Bet NBA win totals before your team plays its first game.
Example Los Angeles Lakers Season Wins
- 45.5 u -129
- 45.5 o +100
This win total line includes ½ games. That means no tie bets are possible.
Options:
Risk $129 to win $100 that the L.A. Lakers win fewer than 45.5 games. A result of 45 or fewer wins.
Risk $104 to win $100 that the L.A. Lakers more than 45.5 games. A result of 46 or more wins.
How to Handicap an NBA Win Total Bet
Handicap a team’s NBA win total using its upcoming schedule, likely starters, and any recently drafted players. Remember, you can bet under the sportsbook’s line if the win total is too high. If you believe a team is likely to win fewer games, bet under a win total line that looks too high.
Avoid betting on your favorite NBA teams or others that you otherwise root for. “Fan bias” is real. It can cloud the judgment of even the most seasoned sports handicappers. Better to research and bet on a team you don’t know much about.
The NBA season is long. Each team plays 82 games before the playoffs begin. That means it’s important to factor team and player fatigue into your NBA win total handicapping analysis. Can the team’s starters go the distance? Will they easily exceed the sportsbook’s line or will it be a struggle?
Always consider both sides of a win total line. The line is set by the sportsbook. It may move as betting action piles up on one side more than the other. The team doesn’t have to “win” the exact win total line. Instead, you’re deciding whether their actual number of wins will be more or fewer than the sportsbook’s line.
Finally, be careful when betting whole number lines like 38, 42, or 52. A tie is possible when the sportsbook doesn’t set a .5 half-win line. The good news: you get your bet back if the bet pushes. The bad news: you tie up money in the bet waiting for a result. NBA whole number win total lines are less common.
NBA Betting Odds
Markets
Game |
BetMGM Bet |
BetRivers Bet |
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Knicks
Celtics
10/22/24 7:30pm EDT | +4.5 -105-4.5 -115 | +5.5 -110-5.5 -110 |
Timberwolves
Lakers
10/22/24 10:00pm EDT | -1.5 -110+1.5 -110 | -1 -109+1 -112 |
Pacers
Pistons
10/23/24 7:00pm EDT | -5.5 -110+5.5 -110 | |
Bucks
Sixers
10/23/24 7:30pm EDT | +4.5 -115-4.5 -105 | +4.5 -110-4.5 -110 |
Magic
Heat
10/23/24 7:30pm EDT | +1.5 -115-1.5 -105 | |
Cavaliers
Raptors
10/23/24 7:30pm EDT | -3.5 -110+3.5 -110 | |
Nets
Hawks
10/23/24 7:30pm EDT | +7.5 -110-7.5 -110 | |
Hornets
Rockets
10/23/24 8:00pm EDT | +6.5 -110-6.5 -110 | |
Bulls
Pelicans
10/23/24 8:00pm EDT | +6.5 -110-6.5 -110 | |
Grizzlies
Jazz
10/23/24 9:00pm EDT | -2.5 -110+2.5 -110 | |
Suns
Clippers
10/23/24 10:00pm EDT | +1.5 -115-1.5 -105 | +1.5 -113-1.5 -108 |
Warriors
Blazers
10/23/24 10:00pm EDT | -3.5 -110+3.5 -110 | |
Celtics
Wizards
10/24/24 7:00pm EDT | -13.5 -110+13.5 -110 | |
Spurs
Mavericks
10/24/24 7:30pm EDT | +7.5 -110-7.5 -110 | |
Thunder
Nuggets
10/24/24 10:00pm EDT | +2.5 -110-2.5 -110 |
NBA Betting Resources
- NBA Betting Guide – Learn how to bet on the NBA with point spreads, totals, moneylines, and exotic bets like parlays, teasers, prop bets and futures.
- NBA Betting Sites – Hoops there it is! Dive into our list of highly recommended NBA betting sites just in time for the next big game.
- NBA Odds – Latest odds for upcoming NBA matchups, including team NBA finals, conference, and division futures.
- NBA Prop Bets – Learn how to bet NBA props. We also have prop betting lines and odds for upcoming NBA matchups.
- NBA Underdogs – Review underdogs point spread and moneyline betting opportunities for upcoming NBA matchups.
- NBA Futures Odds – Review odds for popular NBA futures events, including the NBA Championship, Eastern and Western conference winners, division winners, regular season MVP award, and other player awards.
- NBA Win Total Odds – Review regular season win total lines and odds for each team. Remember to place you bet before each team’s first game of the regular season.
- Undefeated NBA Teams – See which teams are still undefeated in the current regular season.
- NBA Championship Betting – We explain the best bets for the NBA finals, plus you can see the latest NBA Finals futures.
- Eastern Conference Win Totals – Season win totals for every NBA Eastern Conference team.
- Western Conference Win Totals – Win totals for every Western Conference NBA team.
- Halftime Middling – Learn how to make a bet a halftime that can’t lose. We explain how halftime middling can work for NBA and college basketball games.
- Five-Game Rolling Average – Use a team’s five game rolling average stats to sharpen up your handicap analyses and making winning NBA bets.
- NBA Team Betting Odds – Latest odds for each NBA team, including upcoming matchups, futures, and season specials.