Current Primeira Liga Betting Odds and Lines

The Primeira Liga, founded in 1934, is the highest level of soccer in the Portuguese league system. That makes Primeira Liga betting popular among both USA and European soccer bettors. It’s also known as the Liga Portugal Bwin for sponsorship purposes. The league has consisted of 18 teams since the 2014-15 season.

From August to May, the 18 teams compete against each other – once at each team’s home venue. After the 34 matches are played, the team at the top of the standings is named champion.

The Primeira Liga is not as prestigious as the so-called “big five” in Europe. Still, Portuguese soccer now ranks sixth in the UEFA Country Coefficient (as of 2022), sitting just behind the top-five countries of England, Spain, Italy, France, and Germany. The Primeira Liga has increased in quality and popularity in recent years.

Portugal Primeira Liga

League
Upcoming Portugal Primeira Liga Matchups
+ Displays more odds

Game
BetRivers BetRivers
Bet
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
Draw
9/30/22 2:00pm EDT
Braga
FC Porto
Draw
9/30/22 4:15pm EDT
Portimonense
Vizela
Draw
10/01/22 10:30am EDT
Estoril
GD Chaves
Draw
10/01/22 1:00pm EDT
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Benfica
Guimaraes
Draw
10/01/22 3:30pm EDT
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Draw
10/02/22 10:30am EDT
Arouca
Pacos de Ferreira
Draw
10/02/22 1:00pm EDT
Boavista
FC Famalicao
Draw
10/02/22 3:30pm EDT
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Casa Pia
Maritimo
Draw
10/03/22 3:15pm EDT

Primeira Liga Futures Odds

2023 Portugal Primeira Liga Futures Odds

Team
BetRivers BetRivers
Benfica
FC Porto
Braga
Sporting CP
Portimonense
Estoril
Boavista
Guimaraes
GD Chaves
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia
FC Famalicao
Arouca
Rio Ave
Vizela
Santa Clara
Pacos de Ferreira
Maritimo

How to Read Sports Betting Odds Video

Chapters

  1. Primeira Liga Betting
  2. Primeira Liga Betting Events
  3. When to Bet on Primeira Liga Matches
  4. Popular Teams
  5. Primeira Liga Betting Strategies

Primeira Liga Bets

Soccer may be a low-scoring sport, but there are quite a few ways to place a bet on a soccer match. Some require more explanation than others, particularly the Asian Handicap.

Moneyline Bet

The moneyline is a simple bet where you try and predict the final outcome of the match. Wager on either team to win or choose a draw with a 3-way moneyline bet.

You can also wager on either team to win with a 2-way moneyline bet. With this bet, a draw would result in a push and your bet being refunded.

3-Way Moneyline Bet

The 3-way moneyline is one of the most popular bets due to draws being a consistent outcome in soccer. You can choose either team to win or bet on a draw.

Sportsbooks determine the likelihood of each outcome along with how the public might bet on a matchup to set the odds. If the public takes more action on one of the three outcomes than expected, sportsbooks will adjust the odds accordingly.

3-Way Moneyline Example

Estoril -165
Gil Vicente +450
Draw +330

In this example, Estoril winning is the most likely outcome. The minus sign before the odds indicates their status as the betting favorite. A minus before the number means you have to risk $165 to win $100.

A plus sign ahead of the odds indicates an underdog outcome. A bet on Gil Vicente to win is the most unlikely result according to oddsmakers. A Gil Vicente win would pay $450 on a $100 bet.

The odds for a draw in this case are +330, so bet $100 to win $330 in the event of a tie.

Note that 3-way moneyline odds can all have plus values. When this occurs, the favorite would be the lowest value.

In the following example, Braga is the +115 favorite. Tondela is +250, so a Tondela win is considered slightly less likely than a draw at +245.

Braga +115
Tondela +250
Draw +245

2-Way Moneyline Bet (aka “Tie No Bet”)

As we touched on above, the 2-way moneyline bet means there are two outcomes instead of three. This bet takes the draw out of the equation, as you would get your initial bet amount back in case of a tie. Hence, this bet is also called a 2-Way Tie No Bet.

2-Way Moneyline Bet Example

Estoril -425
Gil Vicente +310

Using the same game as our first 3-way moneyline example, you’ll see that you would have to risk a lot more to win the same amount on a bet for Estoril. That’s because a draw isn’t a losing outcome here.

Since a draw isn’t a negative for a bettor on the 2-way moneyline, you would have to risk more to back the favored team. In this case, it’s $425 on Estoril to win $100. If the match is a draw, you get your $425 bet back.

On the other side, you’re also protected against a draw by betting on Gil Vicente. The payout for a Gil Vicente win decreases to $310 on a $100 bet. Again, if the final result is a draw, you get your $100 bet back.

SportsBetting3.com Portugal Primeira Liga Odds Example

Portugal Primeira Liga Odds and Outcomes Explained

Game
BetRivers BetRivers
Bet
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
Draw
9/30/22 2:00pm EDT
Possible Moneyline Outcomes
  • Gil Vicente bettors risk $100 to win $800 at +800 odds. The implied probability for Gil Vicente is 11.11%.
  • Sporting CP bettors risk $100 to win $27.78 at -360 odds. The implied probability for Sporting CP is 78.26%.
  • Draw bettors risk $100 to win $440 at +440 odds. The implied probability for Draw is 18.52%.

Totals Bet (Over-Under)

A totals bet is where oddsmakers set a specific number of goals to be scored in the match. You bet whether the final result will be over or under that number.

It’s important to note that the number set for a totals bet isn’t the number of goals oddsmakers think will be scored. Rather, it’s the number of goals oddsmakers think will cause equal betting on both sides of their line. This ensures a sportsbook doesn’t take too much of a loss on a certain result.

Totals Bet Example

Benfica 2.5 o -110
Vizela 2.5 u -110

Here, you would be betting on whether the total number of goals in this match will go over or under 2.5.

The -110 next to each number indicates the odds. You would need to bet $110 to win $100 in either case. Sometimes, oddsmakers will adjust the odds if they believe betting on one side will be heavier than the other.

You’ll notice that the odds here are the same for each side. In either case, you have to risk more than you can win. This $10 difference is called the vig or juice. Sportsbooks use losing bets to pay the winners.

When there’s an equal amount of betting on each side, the book gets a profit of $10 on each losing bet. Think of the vig as a service fee. It allows the sportsbook a better chance to profit and also ensures that your bet will be paid out in case you win.

Asian Handicap – Goal Line Bet (Soccer Point Spread)

The Asian handicap, or goal line bet, is placing a wager on the matchup with a point spread like a hockey puck line or baseball run line. Teams are typically favored by a half goal, but more lopsided matchups have been known to have spreads of 1.5 or 2.5 on the goal line.

Asian Handicap – Goal Line Bet Example

Sporting CP -0.5 -110
Santa Clara +0.5 -110

In this example, a bet on Sporting CP would only be successful if they win by 1 or more goals.

Betting on Santa Clara gives you two ways to win. If they win outright, you win. If the final result is a draw, you also win. That +0.5 goal line means Santa Clara can’t lose by more than 1 goal. It includes the possibility of a draw.

If the goal line were -1.5 in favor of Sporting CP, the bet would only be a winner if they were to win the match by two or more goals.

Asian Handicap Split Bet (Split Goal Line Bet)

Asian handicap split lines, or split goal lines, are written in quarter goal increments of 0.25 or 0.75. Examples include 0.25, 0.75, 1.25 or 1.75.

Whenever you see a split line, you’re actually making 2 bets at once. Your wager will be equally split between the two closest half line numbers with the same odds.

Asian Handicap Split Bet Example

Here’s how a $120 bet on Porto with a -0.75 -120 Asian handicap split bet works.

Porto -0.75 -120
Arouca +0.75 +100

The closest half number below -0.75 is -1, so $60 goes for Porto -1. The closest half number above -0.75 is -0.5. The other $60 goes to Porto by -0.5.

The -120 odds is what determines your winning payout. Remember, a minus value is how much you risk to win $100. In this case, you are risking $120 total to win a $100 split between two different lines.

If both bets win, you get $50 for each totaling $100. If one wins and one pushes, you get $50 plus $60 refunded. And if both lose, you get $0.

Asian Handicap Split Bet Detailed Example

How much you win or lose on the Asian handicap split bet depends on the game’s final outcome. Here’s how your bet on Porto -0.75 at -120 odds plays out.

Porto wins by 2 or more goals
Both bets win. Porto’s 2-goal victory is greater than each bet at -0.5 and -1.

The $120 bet to win $100 was split $60 each for Porto -0.5 and Porto -1. You win $50 each for a total of $100.

Porto wins by 1 goal
Porto by -0.5 wins, Porto by -1 pushes. In this case, Porto’s 1-goal victory is only greater than the bet at -0.5.

Your $120 bet to win $100 was split 2 ways for $60 on each line, -0.5 and -1. You win $50 on the bet against -0.5 and get $60 refunded for the push against -1. Total win: $50.

Porto draws or loses outright
Both bets lose. A draw means a 0-goal margin of victory over Arouca, and 0 is less than both -0.5 and -1.

You lose the $60 against -0.5 and the $60 against -1. Total loss: $120.

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Primeira Liga Major Events

The Primeira Liga follows the format of most top-tier international soccer leagues, such as the English Premier League, and doesn’t crown its champion through a playoff format like major sports in North America.

Instead, the 18 teams compete in a double round-robin format, playing each team home and away for a total of 34 games contested from August through May. Teams earn three points for a win, one point for a draw, and zero points for a loss. After the final games conclude, the team that has the highest point total is the league champion.

The top two teams in Primeira Liga qualify for the UEFA Champions League group stage. The third-place club makes the qualifying rounds of the Champions League. If they fail to reach the group stage, they will play in the UEFA Europa League along with the fourth-place team in Primeira Liga.

On the other end of the table, the two teams that finish at the bottom are relegated (sent down) to the second-tier Segunda Liga. The top two teams from that division are then promoted to Primeira Liga the following season.

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When to Bet on Primeira Liga Matches

Teams in Portugal typically play once per week. Different betting strategies dictate whether to bet on a match early or wait until closer to kickoff.

If you are really familiar with the teams, you can check the early odds to determine if there is value on a particular outcome. Review how one team has played against the other, recent matchup results, and player injuries. Jumping on a bad line can give you great value before the oddsmakers fix their mistake.

Waiting for the public to play their hand can also create value on the back end. Using this strategy, take note of the opening lines when they come out and look for any changes.

Primeira Liga Betting Odds For Fun

If you’re in it for fun and to win money, consider going against public opinion. Sometimes, contrarian betting can be profitable. Back a team that is getting more favorable odds closer to match time. This means that oddsmakers are trying to entice people to bet on that side because most of the public money is going in the other direction.

Waiting until closer to kickoff also gives you time for any late injuries or other news to develop that could affect the match result. So unless something really stands out to you when the lines for a match are released, you are likely better off waiting to place bets.

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Popular Primeira Liga Teams

The majority of Primeira Liga teams are located in either the northwest part of the country in cities like Porto and Braga or in the central coastal capital city of Lisbon. The popularity and success of three teams (known as “the big three”) against the rest of the clubs are lopsided in more than just about any other sporting league.

Benfica

Benfica, located in Lisbon, is the most popular and successful of the big three teams. As of 2022, Benfica has won 37 Primeira Liga titles and has finished runner-up another 29 times. The team also averages 53,000 fans, which is 10,000 more than their nearest competitor.

The team is a regular participant in the UEFA Champions League but has not won it since scoring back-to-back titles in 1961 and ‘62 (when it was known as the European Cup). The team’s all-time greatest player was Eusebio, who won the Bola de Prata–the league’s award for the top goal-scorer–a record seven times from 1963-64 to 1972-73.

Porto

Porto won its 30th league championship in 2021-22 and has been runner-up on 28 occasions. It is the most successful club of the 21st century, winning 12 titles from 2002-03 to 2021-22. It averages 42,000 fans per match at the Estadio do Dragao.

While it trails Benfica for domestic superiority, Porto has been more successful in international competition. It has won the UEFA Champions League twice (1987, 2004) and the UEFA Europa Cup twice as well (2003, 2011). Fernando Gomes won six Bola de Pratas from 1976-77 to 1984-85, and Jackson Martinez won it three-straight times in the 2010s.

Sporting CP

Sporting CP, like Benfica, plays in the capital city of Lisbon and averages almost 44,000 fans per match (all other teams average fewer than 16,000). The club has 19 championships and 22 runner-up finishes. The big three teams account for 86 of the 88 championships in the history of the Primeira Liga. The team hasn’t had as much success recently, going a club record 19 years between championships (2002 to ‘21).

The team does not have any titles in UEFA Champions League or Europa League competition, but it has its share of league records. Hector Yazalde holds the record for most goals in a season with 46. Fernando Peyroteo also has six Bola de Pratas while Mario Jardel won five in six years in the late 1990s and early 2000s.

Primeira Liga Betting Handicapping Strategies

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Do Your Research

It’s estimated that 70% of all of the sports betting that takes place worldwide is wagered on soccer. With that much action, you have to do your homework if you are to discover advantages.

Using a site that keeps track of team and player statistics each year, like Footy Stats, can help you discover trends. Watch the matches and follow the news. Pay close attention to injury reports, suspensions, head-to-head records, and team performance in their most recent matches. How a team performed in their last three or four matches could provide more useful information than their statistics for the entire season.

Also, know what home-field advantage is worth. In all leagues throughout the world, the majority of teams will perform better at home than on the road.

However, away teams do win. By following these statistics, it can be easier to pinpoint when a team will win on the road. Doing your research and knowing when to take an away team can lead to big wins since the oddsmakers will typically give a bump to the home team.

Exploit Public Bias

Use public biases to increase the value of your bets. Given that 70% of all sports bets in the world are placed on soccer, you can be sure that a great many of them are being made on the favorite team to win.

In the Portugal Primeira Liga, the big three teams garner most of the betting action. As a result, oddsmakers will nudge odds in favor of teams opposing these clubs. A bet on an opposing team may offer higher value, especially if you determine they have a real chance to win.

Another popular public bias is on the totals bet. Casual bettors like scoring and want to root for goals. That means they gravitate towards taking the over. However, if your research suggests a lower number of goals than the current totals odds, grab the value that comes with betting on the under.

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