Belmont Stakes Trends - Historical Graphs, Tables & Data

Here are Belmont Stakes trends 1997-present. What are the average odds and post position of winning horses? How many horses have won both the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes since 1997? Which horses were the biggest Triple Crown Busts?

I’ve got valuable trends and insights below. Each stat has its own table, chart or graph.

Last Triple Crown Winner: 2018 – Justify with jockey Mike E. Smith and trainer Bob Baffert. The previous Triple Crown winner was American Pharoah in 2015.

Belmont Stakes Trends 1997-2018 Averages

Belmont Stakes Averages
Stat	Value
Starting Horses Per Belmont Stakes	10.045
Winning Horse Post Position	6.091
Winning Horse Odds	14.275

Belmont Stakes Graphs

Belmont Stakes Winner Odds Graph

I graphed the odds of each winning Belmont Stakes horse. The overall trend suggests favored horses win more often in recent years. Eliminating Sarava’s 2002 long-shot win only confirms the obvious: long-shot victories are rare. Make your picks accordingly!

Belmont Stakes Winner Post Position Graph

Post position does impact a horse’s performance, particularly its start. This value has trended upward in recent years.

Belmont Stakes Top Jockeys Graph

Belmont Stakes Top Jockeys 1997-2018 - Appearances, Wins and Seconds

Jockey Mike E. Smith, John Velazquez, Edgar Prado and Gary Stevens lead in Belmont Stakes appearances.

Belmont Stakes Top Trainers Graph

Belmont Stakes Top Trainers 1997-2018- Appearances, Wins and Seconds

Todd Pletcher, Bob Baffert, Nick Zito, D. Wayne Lukas lead in Belmont Stakes appearances. Pound for pound, Baffert has the highest quality horses.

Belmont Stakes Trends Tables 1997-2018

Stats Extremes: Winning Belmont Horses
Triple Crown Biggest Busts
Belmont Stakes Biggest Upsets
Top Jockeys
Top Trainers
Kentucky Derby Winning Horses
Preakness Stakes Winning Horses
Horses that Won Kentucky Derby and Preakness
Winning Horses that also won Kentucky Derby
Winning Horses that also won Preakness
Todd Pletcher’s Belmont Stakes Horses
Nick Zito’s Belmont Stakes Horses
D. Wayne Lukas’ Belmont Stakes Horses
Bob Baffert’s Belmont Stakes Horses

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Stat Extremes: Winning Belmont Stakes Horses 1997-2018

Extremes: Winning Belmont Stakes Horses
Stat	Value	Year	Horse
Highest Odds	70.25	2002	Sarava
Lowest Odds	0.75	2015	American Pharoah
Highest Post Position	13	2016	Creator
Lowest Post Position	1	1997	Touch Gold
Lowest Post Position	1	2003	Empire Maker
Lowest Post Position	1	2018	Justify

Sarava 2002 Belmont Stakes Long-Shot Winner

Triple Crown Busts Finish 4th or Worse, 1997-2018

Triple Crown Busts Finish 4th or Worse
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Odds	Post
2008	9	Big Brown	Kent Desormeaux	Rick Dutrow	0.3	1
2002	8	War Emblem	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert	1.25	9
2014	4	California Chrome	Victor Espinoza	Art Sherman	0.85	2

Belmont Stakes Upset Winners, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Upset Winners
Year	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Odds	Post
2002	Sarava	Edgar Prado	Kenneth McPeek	70.25	11
2008	Da'Tara	Alan Garcia	Nick Zito	38.5	5
2004	Birdstone	Edgar Prado	Nick Zito	36	4
1999	Lemon Drop Kid	Jose A. Santos	Flint S. Schulhofer	29.75	6
2011	Ruler on Ice	Jose Valdivia, Jr.	Kelly Breen	24.75	3

Top Belmont Stakes Jockeys, 1997-2018

Top Belmont Stakes Jockeys
Jockey	Appearances	Wins	Seconds
Mike E. Smith	15	3	1
John Velazquez	14	2	3
Edgar Prado	12	2	0
Gary Stevens	8	2	2
Kent Desormeaux	9	1	2

Top Belmont Stakes Trainers, 1997-2018

Top Belmont Stakes Trainers
Trainer	Appearances	Wins	Seconds
Todd Pletcher	26	3	5
Bob Baffert	11	3	3
Nick Zito	17	2	3
D. Wayne Lukas	14	1	1
Kenneth McPeek	6	1	0

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey	Trainer
1997	2	Silver Charm	Gary Stevens	Bob Baffert
1998	2	Real Quiet	Kent Desormeaux	Bob Baffert
1999	3	Charismatic	Chris Antley	D. Wayne Lukas
2001	3	Monarchos	Jorge Chavez	John Ward Jr.
2002	8	War Emblem	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2003	3	Funny Cide	Jose Santos	Barclay Tagg
2004	2	Smarty Jones	Stewart Elliott	John Servis
2005	7	Giacomo	Mike E. Smith	John Shirreffs
2008	9	Big Brown	Kent Desormeaux	Rick Dutrow
2009	3	Mine That Bird	Calvin Borel	Bennie L. Woolley, Jr.
2013	3	Orb	Joel Rosario	Claude McGaughey
2014	4	California Chrome	Victor Espinoza	Art Sherman
2015	1	American Pharoah	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2018	1	Justify	Mike E. Smith	Bob Baffert

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey	Trainer
1997	2	Silver Charm	Gary Stevens	Bob Baffert
1998	2	Real Quiet	Kent Desormeaux	Bob Baffert
1999	3	Charismatic	Chris Antley	D. Wayne Lukas
2001	1	Point Given	Gary Stevens	Bob Baffert
2002	8	War Emblem	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2003	3	Funny Cide	Jose Santos	Barclay Tagg
2004	2	Smarty Jones	Stewart Elliott	John Servis
2005	1	Afleet Alex	Jeremy Rose	Timothy Ritchey
2007	2	Curlin	Robby Albarado	Steve Asmussen
2008	9	Big Brown	Kent Desormeaux	Rick Dutrow
2011	5	Shackleford	Jesus Castanon	Dale Romans
2012	D	I'll Have Another	Mario Gutierrez	Doug O'Neill
2013	2	Oxbow	Gary Stevens	D. Wayne Lukas
2014	4	California Chrome	Victor Espinoza	Art Sherman
2015	1	American Pharoah	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2016	11	Exaggerator	Kent Desormeaux	J. Keith Desormeaux
2018	1	Justify	Mike E. Smith	Bob Baffert

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby & Preakness, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby & Preakness
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey	Trainer
1997	2	Silver Charm	Gary Stevens	Bob Baffert
1998	2	Real Quiet	Kent Desormeaux	Bob Baffert
1999	3	Charismatic	Chris Antley	D. Wayne Lukas
2002	8	War Emblem	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2003	3	Funny Cide	Jose Santos	Barclay Tagg
2004	2	Smarty Jones	Stewart Elliott	John Servis
2008	9	Big Brown	Kent Desormeaux	Rick Dutrow
2014	4	California Chrome	Victor Espinoza	Art Sherman
2015	1	American Pharoah	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2018	1	Justify	Mike E. Smith	Bob Baffert

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby, 1997-2018

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey	Trainer
2015	1	American Pharoah	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2018	1	Justify	Mike E. Smith	Bob Baffert

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness, 1997-2018

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey	Trainer
2001	1	Point Given	Gary Stevens	Bob Baffert
2005	1	Afleet Alex	Jeremy Rose	Timothy Ritchey
2015	1	American Pharoah	Victor Espinoza	Bob Baffert
2018	1	Justify	Mike E. Smith	Bob Baffert

Todd Pletcher’s Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

Todd Pletcher Belmont Stakes Horses
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey
2000	5	Impeachment	Craig Perret
2001	5	Invisible Ink	John Velazquez
2001	8	Balto Star	Chris McCarron
2004	9	Purge	John Velazquez
2006	2	Bluegrass Cat	John Velazquez
2006	3	Sunriver	Rafael Bejarano
2007	1	Rags to Riches	John Velazquez
2008	3	Ready's Echo	John Velazquez
2009	2	Dunkirk	John Velazquez
2010	6	Interactif	Javier Castellano
2011	2	Stay Thirsty	Javier Castellano
2013	12	Midnight Taboo	Garrett K. Gomez
2013	7	Overanalyze	John R. Velazquez
2013	6	Unlimited Budget	Rosie Napravnik
2013	5	Revolutionary	Javier Castellano
2013	1	Palace Malice	Mike E. Smith
2014	2	Commissioner	Javier Castellano
2014	8	Matterhorn	Joe Bravo
2015	6	Madefromlucky	Javier Castellano
2015	8	Materiality	John R. Velazquez
2016	5	Stradivari	John Velazquez
2016	2	Destin	Javier Castellano
2017	1	Tapwrit	Jose Ortiz
2017	3	Patch	John Velazquez
2018	4	Vino Rosso	John Velazquez
2018	10	Noble Indy	Javier Castellano

Nick Zito’s Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

Nick Zito Belmont Stakes Horses
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey
1999	5	Stephen Got Even	Shane Sellers
1999	12	Adonis	Jorge F. Chavez
2001	2	A P Valentine	Victor Espinoza
2004	1	Birdstone	Edgar Prado
2004	3	Royal Assault	Pat Day
2005	2	Andromeda's Hero	Rafael Bejarano
2005	4	Indy Storm	Edgar Prado
2005	11	Pinpoint	John Velazquez
2006	6	Hemingway's Key	Jeremy Rose
2007	5	C P West	Edgar Prado
2008	1	Da'Tara	Alan Garcia
2008	3	Anak Nakal	Julien Leparoux
2009	7	Brave Victory	Rajiv Maragh
2009	10	Miner's Escape	Jose Lezcano
2010	2	Fly Down	John Velazquez
2010	8	Ice Box	Jose Lezcano
2015	5	Frammento	Mike E. Smith

D. Wayne Lukas’ Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

D. Wayne Lukas Belmont Stakes Horses
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey
1998	7	Grand Slam	Jerry D. Bailey
1998	10	Yarrow Brae	Mike E. Smith
1999	3	Charismatic	Chris Antley
2000	1	Commendable	Pat Day
2001	7	Buckle Down Ben	Corey Nakatani
2002	5	Proud Citizen	Mike E. Smith
2003	6	Scrimshaw	Gary Stevens
2005	5	A. P. Arrow	Jerry Bailey
2009	5	Luv Gov	Miguel Mena
2009	6	Flying Private	Julien Leparoux
2012	10	Optimizer	Corey Nakatani
2013	2	Oxbow	Gary Stevens
2013	10	Will Take Charge	Jon Court
2018	6	Bravazo	Luis Saez

Bob Baffert’s Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

Bob Baffert Belmont Stakes Horses
Year	Belmont Finish	Horse	Jockey
1997	2	Silver Charm	Gary Stevens
1998	2	Real Quiet	Kent Desormeaux
1999	7	Silverbulletday	Jerry D. Bailey
2001	1	Point Given	Gary Stevens
2002	8	War Emblem	Victor Espinoza
2006	8	Bob and John	Garrett K. Gomez
2010	4	Game On Dude	Martin Garcia
2012	2	Paynter	Mike E. Smith
2015	1	American Pharoah	Victor Espinoza
2018	1	Justify	Mike E. Smith
2018	8	Restoring Hope	Florent Geroux

References