The Atlanta Braves are one of the hottest teams for the month of June.
With a 42-32 (update) record, here is how bettors should view the Braves. Let’s examine the starting pitchers, usual lineup and other trends for Atlanta.
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Starting pitchers
Max Fried is the Braves ace with a 7-2 record and a 2.77 earned run average (ERA). His abysmal starts against Cincinnati and Washington that started the season are the only blemishes on his season. He’s ascending into one of the best pitchers, and can be treated as such when betting.
Kyle Wright started hot, but a horrible May spoiled an incredible record. That being said he’s a pleasant surprise for the Braves as he seems to be developing into the ace Atlanta wanted when he was a top prospect. An 8-4 record with a 3.18 ERA is someone not to target often.
Two disappointing starters for Atlanta are Charlie Morton and Ian Anderson. Both heralded as quality starters and vital pieces in the Braves 2021 postseason, each struggled mightily in 2022.
With ERAs hovering over 4.50 both pitchers look like pitchers to target against rather than avoid.
Most notably is the emergence of Spencer Strider. The former seventh ranked prospect in Atlanta’s system in 2021 earned a rotation spot in the early part of the season. He made his starting debut May 30., and since proved he can be a reliable spot in the rotation. His last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers saw him surrender five hits, no walks and seven Ks in six innings of work.
The starting pitching for Atlanta is not the flashiest, but it is something bettors should note when looking at the Braves,
Usual lineup
Atlanta keeps star outfielder Ronald Acuña Jr. from playing in every game as he deals with lingering issues from a torn ACL in 2021. He is in the lineup more, and that makes the Braves a better team overall as he seems to be the spark for it.
Ozzie Albies is on the IL with a fractured foot, but it seems Atlanta has not missed a beat. Dansby Swanson stepped up offensively in a huge way as he homered 13 times this season. It may not be enough to set a career-high 27 like in 2021, but his rise in batting average shows he’s becoming a better hitter.
The dip in production from Austin Riley may be concerning as he hit .302 in 2021, but is around 50 points lower so far in 2022. He is still providing solid offense, but after a huge season, optimistically Atlanta wanted a step forward.
Overall, the offense is average throughout almost the first half of the season, but is a strikeout-heavy team. If bettors play any sites that reward strikeouts, this is a team they should target. The second-most strikeouts behind the Los Angeles Angels, the Braves are a solid offense, but can be incredibly swing and miss.
Other trends
Atlanta rode a 14-game winning streak into Wild Card contention and over .500 baseball. The team came into Monday’s series against the Philadelphia Phillies 19-5 in June.
The run line record for ATL was 37-37 for a cover of 50 percent before Monday’s contest against the Phillies. The run line differential is -0.1, so not a ton a of impact. The margin of victory (MOV) is 0.6, which is important given that runs can be at a half-point spread. The home-road splits for the Braves when looking at the cover percent, favors away more. In away games, again before Philadelphia, Atlanta owns a 21-12 record for a 63.6 percent cover. The home record is not as solid with 16-25.