Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The Lightning will play the Maple Leafs on Saturday, March 7th, 2026. Your timezone's face off time is 7:08 pm EST. Check local listings or your nearest streaming app for coverage.

Learn more about NHL Betting with our handy tutorial and guide. We explain money line, total and puck line bets. Plus, a great discussion about exotic bets like NHL parlays and props.


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Table of Contents

Key Matchup Stats

We're now in the back half of the 2025-26 NHL regular season. Face off for the matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs happens on Saturday, March 7th, 2026. Review each team's performance trends and insights below. Finally, recall that each team's point tally determines their playoff eligibility and seed. Stacking up as many wins as possible is key to securing an optimal NHL playoffs berth.

  • SportsBetting3.com Power Rankings - The Tampa Bay Lightning now have a 95.67 SportsBetting3.com power ranking with the Toronto Maple Leafs starting this game with a 87.00 power ranking. Generally speaking, the team with the higher power ranking will be the moneyline favorite.
  • Away Tampa Bay Lightning - The Tampa Bay Lightning have a 19-8-4 record as an away team. That standing puts them 2nd in the league for away team wins. However, the Tampa Bay Lightning now rank 11th for away team losses.
  • Home Toronto Maple Leafs - The puck drops for the Toronto Maple Leafs with a 16-10-7 record as a home team. That result ranks them 7th in the league for home team wins. But, they now sit at 7th for home team losses.
  • Goals Scored - Heading into the second half of the 2025-26 NHL season, the Tampa Bay Lightning rank 6th (211) for goals scored. The Toronto Maple Leafs currently rank 9th (200) in the league for goals scored.
  • Goals Against - Teams that allow fewer goals have better defensive players and goalies. The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 26th (162) in the league for goals allowed. As for the Toronto Maple Leafs, they've allowed 221 goals this season, resulting in a 2nd league ranking.
  • Shootout Records - A tie following 3 periods of regulation time and overtime mean a shootout will be held to determine the winner. The Tampa Bay Lightning have a 4-2 shootout win-loss record, with the Toronto Maple Leafs owning a 1-3 shootout record.
  • Team Records - The Tampa Bay Lightning have a 38-18-4 record and the Toronto Maple Leafs hold a 27-25-11 at this point in the 2025-26 NHL regular season.

Moneyline Mage

Spelling out the winners with humor since the middle ages.

Moneyline Mage
Moneyline Mage

Hocus pocus, Tampa Bay Lightning face off against Toronto Maple Leafs...

Tampa Bay Lightning standing strong at 38-18-4, Toronto Maple Leafs struggling at 27-25-11...

Check out each team's standings below... Bet on the game at BetRivers...

We've calculated the best lines for this matchup... Puck line, goal total...

Place a bet at BetMGM... Learn how to bet on hockey at SportsBetting3.com...

Best Lightning at Maple Leafs Odds


Best Moneyline Betting Odds
Underdog

Toronto Maple Leafs
Favorite

Tampa Bay Lightning
The Tampa Bay Lightning are the -210 moneyline favorite. Risk $210 to win $100 on the Tampa Bay Lightning at BetMGM. The Toronto Maple Leafs are the +170 underdog at BetMGM. Risk $100 to win $170 on the Toronto Maple Leafs. Learn more about how to bet on money lines.

Best Total Betting Odds
OverUnder
BetMGM has the best over line of 6.5 goals. Risk $102 to win $100. BetMGM has the best under line of 6.5 goals. Risk $118 to win $100. Our tutorial explains more about total bets.

Best Puck Line Betting Odds
Underdog

Toronto Maple Leafs
Favorite

Tampa Bay Lightning
The Tampa Bay Lightning have a -1.5 +115 puck line at BetMGM OH. They are the puck line favorite in this matchup. The Toronto Maple Leafs have a +1.5 -135 puck line at BetMGM OH. The Toronto Maple Leafs are the puck line underdogs. Review how to bet on a point spread with our text and video tutorials.

Matchup Odds FAQs

What is the moneyline for the Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL game on Saturday, March 7th, 2026?

The Tampa Bay Lightning are the -210 moneyline favorite at BetMGM and the Toronto Maple Leafs are the +170 moneyline underdog at BetMGM.

What is the over-under total line for the Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL game on Saturday, March 7th, 2026?

The best over line is 6.5 -102 goals at BetMGM, which means you risk $102 to win $100 betting the over. The best under line is 6.5 -118 goals at BetMGM, and that means you risk $118 to win $100 betting the under.

What is the puck line for the Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL game on Saturday, March 7th, 2026?

The Tampa Bay Lightning are -1.5 +115 puck line favorites at BetMGM, while the Toronto Maple Leafs are +1.5 -135 puck line underdogs at BetMGM.

NHL Odds Example

NHL Odds and Outcomes Explained

Game
BetMGM Sports Betting BetMGM
Bet
Lightning
Maple Leafs
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
-210+170
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Possible Moneyline Outcomes
  • Toronto Maple Leafs bettors risk $100 to win $170 at +170 odds. The implied probability for Toronto Maple Leafs is 37.04%.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning bettors risk $100 to win $47.62 at -210 odds. The implied probability for Tampa Bay Lightning is 67.74%.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Prop Bets

NHL Prop Bets
+ Displays more odds
BetMGM Sports Betting BetMGM
Bet
Lightning
Maple Leafs
Both Teams Score 2+ Goals
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
Yes -185No +135Bet
Lightning
Total Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
3.5 o -1403.5 u +100Bet
Maple Leafs
Total Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
2.5 o -1152.5 u -120Bet
Auston Matthews
To Score 3 Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
Yes +4500Bet
BetMGM Sports Betting BetMGM
Brandon Hagel
To Score 3 Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
Yes +8000Bet
Brayden Point
To Score 3 Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
Yes +5500Bet
Jake Guentzel
To Score 3 Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
Yes +6600Bet
Nikita Kucherov
To Score 3 Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
Yes +3500Bet
BetMGM Sports Betting BetMGM
William Nylander
To Score 3 Goals
TBL at TOR
3/07/26 7:08pm EST
Yes +8000Bet

Team Standings

2025-2026 NHL Regular Season Standings - Tampa Bay Lightning, Toronto Maple Leafs
Team GP W L OTL wPct Pts ROW GF GA Diff Home Away SO L10 Strk
Tampa Bay Lightning66412140.6218637237184+53.020-12-021-9-44-23-7-0W1
Toronto Maple Leafs692928120.4207028216241-25.017-12-712-16-51-42-5-3L1

Tampa Bay Lightning & Toronto Maple Leafs Futures Odds

Latest Stanley Cup odds, if available, for each team. Review odds for other teams and learn how Stanley Cup betting works. See past Championship results and learn how to bet NHL teasers, props and parlays.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Odds
2025-26 Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Odds

Team
BetMGM Sports Betting BetMGM
Lightning
+425
Bet
Toronto Maple Leafs Stanley Cup Odds
2025-26 Toronto Maple Leafs Stanley Cup Odds

Team
BetMGM Sports Betting BetMGM
Maple Leafs
+100000
Bet

Tampa Bay Lightning & Toronto Maple Leafs Team Pages

Review each team's season point total odds, futures odds, betting bonuses and other valuable information on our exclusive team betting odds pages. Team betting odds and stats update throughout the season:

How to Bet on the Game

Time needed: 4 minutes.

How to Bet on the Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Game

  1. Open a new sports betting account before game time.

    Review our list of sports betting sites. Open a new account before the game starts on Saturday, March 7th, 2026 at 7:08 pm EST, making sure to enter all your personal details correctly. Don't forget to add your bonus code.

  2. Visit the sportsbook’s cashier, banking, or deposit page.

    Navigate to the sportsbook's deposit page. Use your Visa card or MasterCard, or deposit with a bank transfer, or other methods like Paypal.

  3. Tap to the sportsbook's NHL page, look for the Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game.

    Navigate to the sportsbook's NHL page. Next, look for live or upcoming matchups. Select the Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game.

  4. Choose your bet and place a wager.

    Choose your bet and then use the funds you deposited to place a wager. The sportsbook will pay your winnings or deduct a losing wager from your account balance after the game.

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