Basic Premier League Handicapping Strategies

The Premier League is England’s highest level of football. It’s also one of the most popular soccer leagues in the world. Fans from all continents support various English Premier League teams, hoping their favorite will win the season. With that comes a substantial interest in soccer betting, particularly on some of the league’s biggest names like Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Liverpool. Like any other sport, there are a few basic soccer handicapping strategies that every bettor, or punter, should know before placing a Premier League bet.


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England Premier League Betting Markets

There are a number of ways to bet on the Premier League. The most common are futures bets and single-game bets. Of the two, single-game bets offer the most opportunity for profit, while futures bets tend to be one-off wagers that often come down to opportunistic timing and luck. The excitement of sports betting is using skill to try and maximize your chances of winning. But it’s not always as straightforward as, say, selecting Manchester United to win their home game.

Single-Game Premier League Markets

Sports betting sites almost always offer the same betting markets for the Premier League as they do for any other soccer league. The most common are the 3-way moneyline, 2-way moneyline, frequently termed a “Draw, No Bet” at sportsbooks, the game game total, and the Asian Handicap. Note that the Asian Handicap isn’t offered at all US sports betting sites, as the concept is unfamiliar to US customers who usually learn how to bet on sports with American Football or basketball.

You’ll also find a number of EPL prop bets for each matchup, including odds for both teams to score, or “BTTS”, total corner kicks, each team’s total goals, and individual player props.

Premier League Futures Bets

Like any other major sports league, the Premier League offers futures betting odds on the team to win the season, each team’s odds to finish in the top 4, and the teams most likely to be relegated. Though placing a successful futures bet is less likely than a single-game wager, payouts can be quite substantial for a modest risk.

This is particularly true should one place a bet on a longshot team to win the Premier League. Favorites might be more likely to win, but their payouts will be relatively low compared to a big underdog.

Where to Bet on the Premier League


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We highly encourage US customers to review our recommended soccer betting sites, all of which offer Premier League futures and odds for each match, including an extensive lineup of prop bets. Each of our partner sportsbooks is licensed and regulated in multiple states, allowing customers to play responsibly with confidence.

Since the Premier League has a global following, players and punters from outside the United States will have to place their wagers elsewhere. Australians will have to find legal sites within their country, just as residents of the United Kingdom should patronize sites regulated within their country.

With that in mind, here are some basic handicapping tips for your next soccer betting challenge at US, Canadian, New Zealand, or UK betting sites football fans will find helpful. Combining these tips with a little background research on your favorite teams can help increase the probability of placing a winning bet.

Basic Premier League Handicapping Tips

Review the following tips to improve your Premier League handicapping abilities and to hone in on the most profitable betting opportunities.

Stick to One League

If you commonly bet on the English Premier League, don’t waste time trying to diversify into other competitions. The amount of time needed to properly research and analyze stats and trends from multiple soccer leagues will take away from finding valuable Premier League betting opportunities. Think of it this way: a Premier League expert doesn’t need to take needless punts on any other league because they’re already ahead. Keep it simple.

Keep track of the latest schedule and results. Be sure to review each team’s injury reports and player suspensions. One or more injured players can dramatically shift the odds, presenting you with the challenge of determining which side is most likely to win, even if the popular favorite team is no longer a betting favorite.

Finally, keep tabs on team managerial changes and any modifications to their playing tactics. Teams frequently recalibrate after their first few fixtures, particularly if they’re facing an opponent that requires an adjusted playing strategy.

Stick to Simple Bets

The same can be said about bets. There’s no need to plan out 10 different wagers on the same game. Instead, stick to the 3-way moneyline, over-under goal total, and draw no bet wagers. If you’re knowledgeable about the Asian Handicap, use this unique wager to moderate your risk.

Keep your prop bets minimal. We suggest looking at each team’s goal total and odds for both teams to score, often written as “BTTS”.

Avoid complicated parlays, accumulators, and anything unfamiliar that’s loaded with juice and unlikely to provide you with value. These types of bets actually hurt regular players in the long run.

Be Realistic

Don’t fall for media hype about bettors who won big on a long odds wager like an accumulator or “acca bet“, known as a parlay bet to US customers. It’s unfortunate that these one-in-a-million stories get so much attention, because the vast majority of people placing these bets lose.

Instead, stick to practical single-game wagers on 2-3 matches each week. Place moderate bets with a moderate chance of winning. This is a much more reliable way to generate consistent returns than banking on a multi-selection parlay wager that’s highly unlikely to win.

Football Tipsters

Football tipsters are sports handicappers that offer their insights and analysis for upcoming matchups. There are many sources of both paid and free football tips. Some are more useful than others. Choose your football tipster carefully, and always review their advice with an analytical eye.

Be wary of free tips found on social media, soccer forums, or in your email inbox. Though some are indeed helpful and well reasoned, many are just ploys to get you to buy useless subscription packages. The cost of these services, subtracted from your winnings, rarely produces positive bankroll by the end of the season. In most cases you’re better off doing your own research and skipping the handicappers altogether.

Value Bets

A calculator and basic math can help you find Premier League value bets. Learn how to calculate the implied probability for soccer moneyline odds. Determine if the Asian Handicap offers a better risk/reward ratio than the moneyline. Compare the game goal total to each team’s goal total. If you spot any discrepancies, capitalize on them with a well-placed wager.

Finally, compare lines and odds between different sportsbooks. Finding a situation where a bookmaker has undervalued a particular side gives you an opportunity to increase your chances of placing a profitable bet.

Conclusion

As one of the world’s leading club soccer leagues, England’s Premier League presents soccer bettors with unique opportunities every time two teams square off on the pitch. We encourage you to stick to single-game wagers and common futures bets, like the team to win the Premier League each season. Next, choose your soccer betting site carefully, making sure to register and bet at a site that’s licensed and regulated in your particular jurisdiction.

Finally, deploy our handicapping tips to improve your chances of a winning season. Stick to the Premier League only, placing realistic single-game wagers with an eye for value bets, occasionally consulting football tipsters with an established reputation for offering useful insights and informed betting tips.