Is it possible that the 2022 NFL Most Valuable Player award is a foregone conclusion? Josh Allen (+125) is almost even odds to win his first MVP trophy. Allen was very close in 2020 when he was second to Aaron Rodgers, who appears to not be in the race this season. The Buffalo Bills quarterback cannot be stopped this season, as he has the most passing yards per game at 330 per contest. Not only is Allen doing it with his arm, but he is also doing it with his legs: he leads the NFL in Pro Football Reference’s total offense statistic.
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Josh Allen (+125)
Entering the season, Josh Allen was the odds-on favorite to win the MVP at +700. Now, he is +125. Allen is on pace to be the best quarterback in franchise history. The hope in Buffalo is that he brings the city its first Super Bowl all-time. The Bills have been looking very good this season, and they even defeated Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Week 6. The Bills could be favored in every game moving forward, and if the Bills finish with at least 14 wins, the MVP trophy should be Allen’s. If he falters, Mahomes has a chance of taking the trophy from him.
Patrick Mahomes (+400)
The Kansas City Chiefs have not been able to find a substitute for Tyreek Hill yet. However, their offense has survived without him. They have the most points and first downs in the NFL as well as the second-most yards. In Week 7, it was Mecole Hardman who was Mahomes’ running mate. Hardman caught a touchdown and rushed for two more. Mahomes, who leads the NFL in passer rating, passing yards, and touchdowns, seems to be showcasing new receivers each week — JuJu Smith-Schuster and Justin Watson also had receiving touchdowns in Week 7. If he continues to do this well with these receivers, then Mahomes could win his second MVP.
Jalen Hurts (+450)
Hurts is looking very strong with his arm and his legs this season. He is top 10 in passer rating and yards per pass attempt. In addition, he is second only to Tom Brady in interception percentage this season. Hurts’ six rushing touchdowns through Week 7 are tied for the second-highest mark in the NFL. The only player with more is Nick Chubb with eight. If Hurts can keep the undefeated Eagles train rolling for a while, the MVP buzz will increase. He is definitely in the mix and is a part of a tremendous top three in the race.
Lamar Jackson (+1100)
Lamar Jackson started the season on a fantastic run, but he has struggled since. He is top four in passing touchdowns, but he is also top four in interceptions. Unfortunately, his legs have not been able to turn in as many yards as Hurts, and therefore, he is a distant fourth in the MVP race. Remember Jackson’s 2019 MVP season? He had six interceptions that entire season and had a league-leading QBR of 83.0. Although Jackson made the Pro Bowl last season and he may be healthier this season, he has struggled at times near the midway point of this season. He already has six interceptions this season and his QBR is just 63.1. Jackson will need a huge resurgence to realistically get back into the MVP conversation.