Belmont Stakes Trends – Historical Graphs, Tables & Data

Here are Belmont Stakes trends 1997-present. What are the average odds and post position of winning horses? How many horses have won both the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes since 1997? Which horses were the biggest Triple Crown Busts?

I’ve got valuable trends and insights below. Each stat has its own table, chart or graph.

Last Triple Crown Winner: 2018 – Justify with jockey Mike E. Smith and trainer Bob Baffert. The previous Triple Crown winner was American Pharoah in 2015.

American Pharoah Horse
American Pharoah Horse

Belmont Stakes Trends 1997-2018 Averages

Belmont Stakes Averages
StatValue
Starting Horses Per Belmont Stakes10.045
Winning Horse Post Position6.091
Winning Horse Odds14.275

Belmont Stakes Graphs

Belmont Stakes Winner Odds Graph

Winning Odds 1997-2018
Winning Odds 1997-2018

I graphed the odds of each winning Belmont Stakes horse. The overall trend suggests favored horses win more often in recent years. Eliminating Sarava’s 2002 long-shot win only confirms the obvious: long-shot victories are rare. Make your picks accordingly!

Belmont Stakes Winner Post Position Graph

Winning Post Position 1997-2018
Winning Post Position 1997-2018

Post position does impact a horse’s performance, particularly its start. This value has trended upward in recent years.

Belmont Stakes Top Jockeys Graph

Belmont Stakes Top Jockeys 1997-2018 - Appearances, Wins and Seconds
Belmont Stakes Top Jockeys 1997-2018 – Appearances, Wins and Seconds

Jockey Mike E. Smith, John Velazquez, Edgar Prado and Gary Stevens lead in Belmont Stakes appearances.

Belmont Stakes Top Trainers Graph

Belmont Stakes Top Trainers 1997-2018- Appearances, Wins and Seconds
Belmont Stakes Top Trainers 1997-2018- Appearances, Wins and Seconds

Todd Pletcher, Bob Baffert, Nick Zito, D. Wayne Lukas lead in Belmont Stakes appearances. Pound for pound, Baffert has the highest quality horses.

Belmont Stakes Trends Tables 1997-2018

  1. Stats Extremes: Winning Belmont Horses
  2. Triple Crown Biggest Busts
  3. Belmont Stakes Biggest Upsets
  4. Top Jockeys
  5. Top Trainers
  6. Kentucky Derby Winning Horses
  7. Preakness Stakes Winning Horses
  8. Horses that Won Kentucky Derby and Preakness
  9. Winning Horses that also won Kentucky Derby
  10. Winning Horses that also won Preakness
  11. Todd Pletcher’s Belmont Stakes Horses
  12. Nick Zito’s Belmont Stakes Horses
  13. D. Wayne Lukas’ Belmont Stakes Horses
  14. Bob Baffert’s Belmont Stakes Horses
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Stat Extremes: Winning Belmont Stakes Horses 1997-2018

Extremes: Winning Belmont Stakes Horses
StatValueYearHorse
Highest Odds70.252002Sarava
Lowest Odds0.752015American Pharoah
Highest Post Position132016Creator
Lowest Post Position11997Touch Gold
Lowest Post Position12003Empire Maker
Lowest Post Position12018Justify

Sarava 2002 Belmont Stakes Long-Shot Winner
Sarava 2002 Belmont Stakes Long-Shot Winner

Triple Crown Busts Finish 4th or Worse, 1997-2018

Triple Crown Busts Finish 4th or Worse
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockeyTrainerOddsPost
20089Big BrownKent DesormeauxRick Dutrow0.31
20028War EmblemVictor EspinozaBob Baffert1.259
20144California ChromeVictor EspinozaArt Sherman0.852

Belmont Stakes Upset Winners, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Upset Winners
YearHorseJockeyTrainerOddsPost
2002SaravaEdgar PradoKenneth McPeek70.2511
2008Da'TaraAlan GarciaNick Zito38.55
2004BirdstoneEdgar PradoNick Zito364
1999Lemon Drop KidJose A. SantosFlint S. Schulhofer29.756
2011Ruler on IceJose Valdivia, Jr.Kelly Breen24.753

Top Belmont Stakes Jockeys, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Top Jockeys
Belmont Stakes Top Jockeys

Top Belmont Stakes Jockeys
Jockey Appearances Wins Seconds
Mike E. Smith1531
John Velazquez1423
Edgar Prado1220
Gary Stevens822
Kent Desormeaux912

Top Belmont Stakes Trainers, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Top Trainers
Belmont Stakes Top Trainers

Top Belmont Stakes Trainers
Trainer Appearances Wins Seconds
Todd Pletcher2635
Bob Baffert1133
Nick Zito1723
D. Wayne Lukas1411
Kenneth McPeek610

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockeyTrainer
19972Silver CharmGary StevensBob Baffert
19982Real QuietKent DesormeauxBob Baffert
19993CharismaticChris AntleyD. Wayne Lukas
20013MonarchosJorge ChavezJohn Ward Jr.
20028War EmblemVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
20033Funny CideJose SantosBarclay Tagg
20042Smarty JonesStewart ElliottJohn Servis
20057GiacomoMike E. SmithJohn Shirreffs
20089Big BrownKent DesormeauxRick Dutrow
20093Mine That BirdCalvin BorelBennie L. Woolley, Jr.
20133OrbJoel RosarioClaude McGaughey
20144California ChromeVictor EspinozaArt Sherman
20151American PharoahVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
20181JustifyMike E. SmithBob Baffert

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockeyTrainer
19972Silver CharmGary StevensBob Baffert
19982Real QuietKent DesormeauxBob Baffert
19993CharismaticChris AntleyD. Wayne Lukas
20011Point GivenGary StevensBob Baffert
20028War EmblemVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
20033Funny CideJose SantosBarclay Tagg
20042Smarty JonesStewart ElliottJohn Servis
20051Afleet AlexJeremy RoseTimothy Ritchey
20072CurlinRobby AlbaradoSteve Asmussen
20089Big BrownKent DesormeauxRick Dutrow
20115ShacklefordJesus CastanonDale Romans
2012DI'll Have AnotherMario GutierrezDoug O'Neill
20132OxbowGary StevensD. Wayne Lukas
20144California ChromeVictor EspinozaArt Sherman
20151American PharoahVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
201611ExaggeratorKent DesormeauxJ. Keith Desormeaux
20181JustifyMike E. SmithBob Baffert

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby & Preakness, 1997-2018

Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby & Preakness
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockeyTrainer
19972Silver CharmGary StevensBob Baffert
19982Real QuietKent DesormeauxBob Baffert
19993CharismaticChris AntleyD. Wayne Lukas
20028War EmblemVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
20033Funny CideJose SantosBarclay Tagg
20042Smarty JonesStewart ElliottJohn Servis
20089Big BrownKent DesormeauxRick Dutrow
20144California ChromeVictor EspinozaArt Sherman
20151American PharoahVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
20181JustifyMike E. SmithBob Baffert

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby, 1997-2018

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Kentucky Derby
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockeyTrainer
20151American PharoahVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
20181JustifyMike E. SmithBob Baffert

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness, 1997-2018

Winning Belmont Stakes Horses that Won Preakness
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockeyTrainer
20011Point GivenGary StevensBob Baffert
20051Afleet AlexJeremy RoseTimothy Ritchey
20151American PharoahVictor EspinozaBob Baffert
20181JustifyMike E. SmithBob Baffert

Todd Pletcher’s Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

Trainer Todd Pletcher
Trainer Todd Pletcher

Todd Pletcher Belmont Stakes Horses
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockey
20005ImpeachmentCraig Perret
20015Invisible InkJohn Velazquez
20018Balto StarChris McCarron
20049PurgeJohn Velazquez
20062Bluegrass CatJohn Velazquez
20063SunriverRafael Bejarano
20071Rags to RichesJohn Velazquez
20083Ready's EchoJohn Velazquez
20092DunkirkJohn Velazquez
20106InteractifJavier Castellano
20112Stay ThirstyJavier Castellano
201312Midnight TabooGarrett K. Gomez
20137OveranalyzeJohn R. Velazquez
20136Unlimited BudgetRosie Napravnik
20135RevolutionaryJavier Castellano
20131Palace MaliceMike E. Smith
20142CommissionerJavier Castellano
20148MatterhornJoe Bravo
20156MadefromluckyJavier Castellano
20158MaterialityJohn R. Velazquez
20165StradivariJohn Velazquez
20162DestinJavier Castellano
20171TapwritJose Ortiz
20173PatchJohn Velazquez
20184Vino RossoJohn Velazquez
201810Noble IndyJavier Castellano

Nick Zito’s Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

Trainer Nick Zito
Trainer Nick Zito

Nick Zito Belmont Stakes Horses
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockey
19995Stephen Got EvenShane Sellers
199912AdonisJorge F. Chavez
20012A P ValentineVictor Espinoza
20041BirdstoneEdgar Prado
20043Royal AssaultPat Day
20052Andromeda's HeroRafael Bejarano
20054Indy StormEdgar Prado
200511PinpointJohn Velazquez
20066Hemingway's KeyJeremy Rose
20075C P WestEdgar Prado
20081Da'TaraAlan Garcia
20083Anak NakalJulien Leparoux
20097Brave VictoryRajiv Maragh
200910Miner's EscapeJose Lezcano
20102Fly DownJohn Velazquez
20108Ice BoxJose Lezcano
20155FrammentoMike E. Smith

D. Wayne Lukas’ Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

Trainer D. Wayne Lukas
Trainer D. Wayne Lukas

D. Wayne Lukas Belmont Stakes Horses
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockey
19987Grand SlamJerry D. Bailey
199810Yarrow BraeMike E. Smith
19993CharismaticChris Antley
20001CommendablePat Day
20017Buckle Down BenCorey Nakatani
20025Proud CitizenMike E. Smith
20036ScrimshawGary Stevens
20055A. P. ArrowJerry Bailey
20095Luv GovMiguel Mena
20096Flying PrivateJulien Leparoux
201210OptimizerCorey Nakatani
20132OxbowGary Stevens
201310Will Take ChargeJon Court
20186BravazoLuis Saez

Bob Baffert’s Belmont Stakes Horses, 1997-2018

Trainer Bob Baffert
Trainer Bob Baffert

Bob Baffert Belmont Stakes Horses
YearBelmont
Finish
HorseJockey
19972Silver CharmGary Stevens
19982Real QuietKent Desormeaux
19997SilverbulletdayJerry D. Bailey
20011Point GivenGary Stevens
20028War EmblemVictor Espinoza
20068Bob and JohnGarrett K. Gomez
20104Game On DudeMartin Garcia
20122PaynterMike E. Smith
20151American PharoahVictor Espinoza
20181JustifyMike E. Smith
20188Restoring HopeFlorent Geroux

References


en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Belmont_Stakes
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Belmont_Stakes
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Belmont_Stakes
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Belmont_Stakes
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Belmont_Stakes
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Belmont_Stakes
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/07/97&cy=USA&rn=9
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/06/98&cy=USA&rn=9
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/05/99&cy=USA&rn=9
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/10/00&cy=USA&rn=9
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/09/01&cy=USA&rn=10
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/08/02&cy=USA&rn=10
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/07/03&cy=USA&rn=11
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/05/04&cy=USA&rn=11
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/11/05&cy=USA&rn=11
quibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/10/06&cy=USA&rn=11
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equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/11/11&cy=USA&rn=11
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/10/12&cy=USA&rn=11
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equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/08/13&cy=USA&rn=11
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/07/14&cy=USA&rn=11
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/06/15&cy=USA&rn=11
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equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/10/17&cy=USA&rn=11
equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=BEL&raceDate=06/09/18&cy=USA&rn=11