Final Four Betting

SB3 has the ultimate Final Four betting guide. See which sportsbooks we recommend. Next, learn the best Final Four betting opportunties. Review our historical data to identify profitable wagering opportunties.

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March 31, 2019 11:00 pm Final Four Betting - Top 20 Teams
Teams Odds $100 Wins
1. Duke
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+450$450
2. Kentucky
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+500$500
3. Kansas
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+750$750
4. Gonzaga
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+800$800
5. Nevada
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+800$800
6. Villanova
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+1200$1200
7. North Carolina
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+1200$1200
8. Virginia
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+2200$2200
9. Michigan State
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+2800$2800
10. Michigan
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+3500$3500
11. Oregon
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+4000$4000
12. Tennessee
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+4000$4000
13. Auburn
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+5000$5000
14. West Virginia
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+5000$5000
15. UCLA
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+5000$5000
16. Indiana
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+5000$5000
17. Syracuse
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+5500$5500
18. Florida
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+6000$6000
19. Purdue
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+6000$6000
20. Wichita State
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+6000$6000
Odds feed last modified: 09/25/2018 16:11:24 Eastern

Chapters

  1. Best Bets
  2. Last Year’s Highights Video
  3. Best All Time Final Fours
  4. Betting Tips
  5. Best Buzzer Beaters Video
  6. Tables/Reference
  7. Live Final Four Odds – Tap Here
2018 March Madness Schedule
Event Site 1st Game
Date
Selection Sunday TBS 6:00PM ET
Live Stream
March 11, 2018
First Four Dayton March 13, 2018
Rounds 1&2 Pittsburgh, Wichita,
Dallas, Boise
March 15, 2018
Rounds 1&2 Charlotte, Detroit
Nashville, San Diego
March 16, 2018
West Regional Los Angeles March 22, 2018
South Regional Atlanta March 22, 2018
Midwest Regional Omaha March 23, 2018
East Regional Boston March 23, 2018
Final Four San Antonio March 31, 2018

Final Four Betting Opportunities

1. Final Four Prop Bets

Carefully handicap each Final Four team. Sift through all prop bets for the best opportunities. The following are common Final Four props. Actual odds may vary.

1. Team to score the first 10 points in the Championship game

  • Team One +160
  • Team Two -210

Which team will score the first 10 points?

Note each team’s juice. Minus numbers indicate the most likely result. Bettors must risk the amount listed to make $100. Plus numbers indicate the least likely. Bettors must risk $100 to win the amount listed.

Tip
Taking the most likely team isn’t necessarily an obvious winner. The least likely team could be a better value. Always research scoring trends of each team.

2. Total Points Each Team

Don’t confuse this prop with an over under total bet. A straight total bet estimates a combined total. These prop bets estimate each team’s total points separately.

Total Team Points – Team One

  • Over/Under 68

Total Team Points – Team Two

  • Over/Under 62½

Look at Team Two’s number. A ½ point total means no tie bets are possible. There are only two possibilities: over or under.

Compare this to Team One’s number. If the result is exactly 68 all bets tie. That means there are 3 possibilities: over, under or tie.

Similar first half props might be offered.

Tip
Add both team’s predicted points together. Compare this number to the game’s total line. Are they consistent? Differences may indicate line moves ripe for sharp betting opportunities.

3. Individual Player Props

Top players will have prop bets for:

  1. Points Scored
  2. Total Rebounds
  3. Total Assists
  4. Total 3 Pt Shots Made
  5. Total Blocks
  6. Total Free Throws Made

If you’ve studied the players on likely Final Four teams all season, here’s your chance to cash in. These props reward smart college basketball handicappers.

Carefully match each player against the team’s opposition. For example, is it likely a player can score 15 pts against a strong man-to-man defense? Take the under. But against a zone? Take the over if they can penetrate to the paint.

Likewise, can a good defensive player tally blocks against a team with more than one good shooter? If so, take the over. If not, take the under.

Tip
Foul shots might be one of the easiest prop bets to take. Just research each player’s season shooting percentage, including recent tournament numbers.

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2. Fade the Public

Suppose North Carolina vs. Kentucky opens Kentucky -6. Kentucky must win by 6 or more points.

First research North Carolina’s record against the spread. Check how often they’ve covered as underdogs.

Second check the line. Suppose it’s moved to Kentucky -8. Remember the sportsbook wants to balance its action. Increasing the line – giving more points to North Carolina – makes taking the underdog Tar Heels more attractive. Don’t continue following the public!

Take North Carolina if they’ve consistently won against the spread. Bet against the public when line moves present an opportunity!

Tip
Wait until 30 minutes before tipoff to see which underdogs get money. This is sharp action coming in. Bet with the sharps.

3. Spread and Total Straight Bets

Finding good spread bets isn’t hard if you can handicap college basketball. Look for matchups where the sportsbook’s spread overestimates a favorite’s ability to cover. Here you’ll take the underdog.

Also look for matchups where the sportsbook’s spread underestimates a favorite’s ability to cover. Here you’ll take the favorite. It’s OK to be a chalk eater. A small win is better than a big loss.

You can identify good total betting opportunities from a sportsbook’s spread and total numbers. See our calculation here. You have an edge if total isn’t consistent with the calculation.

If the projected total is under the sportsbook’s total, bet the under. If the projected total is over the sportsbook’s total, bet the over.

Tip
Review SB3’s live college basketball odds here.

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Last Year’s Final Four Highlights

Best Final Fours All Time

1. 2012 Champion: Kentucky Wildcats

A near-perfect 32-2 season produced another win for John Calipari’s Wildcats. Coming off a SEC championship loss to Vanderbilt, Kentucky steamrolled its way to the Final Four.

A 69-61 close call with Louisville, reminiscent of an epic December battle just months earlier, sent the Wildcats to the Championship against Kansas. There they finished the first half 14 points ahead, later winning 67-59.

2. 1982 Champion: North Carolina Tar Heels

A stacked Tar Heels team featuring James Worthy, Sam Perkins and a young Michael Jordan barely made the Final Four, squeaking by a determined James Madison team in the first round.

Coach Dean Smith steered them past Houston the first Final Four game, notching a five point win. Then the Tar Heels faced Georgetown in the National Championship. Foreshadowing future greatness, Michael Jordan sank a jump shot with 15 seconds to go, giving North Carolina a 63-62 lead.

Georgetown turned the ball over to James Worthy on the next possession, ending their attempt to win at the buzzer. The 1982 Tar Heels are considered North Carolina’s greatest team of all time.

3. 1992 Champion: Duke Blue Devils

Respect to Mike Krzyzewski’s 1992 Blue Devils, the forefathers of today’s Duke Dynasty.

After a dominant 28-2 regular season, Duke was behind in its Elite 8 matchup versus Kentucky. But Christian Laettner’s legendary buzzer beater sent the Blue Devils to the Final Four. Many still hate Laettner! His last name is a four-letter word, still sour in mouths of Duke’s competitors.

Duke edged by Indiana 42-37 in the semifinal game, later crushing Michigan’s Fab Five 71-51 in the National Final. Grant Hill and Laettner led Duke in final, while Bobby Hurley was named the tournament’s most outstanding player.

4. 1979 Champion: Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State, Indiana State, DePaul and Penn made the Final Four.

In the end, Earvin Magic Johnson led the Spartans 75-64 over Larry Bird and the Indiana State Sycamores.

5. 1976 Champion: Indiana Hoosiers

Indiana, Michigan, UCLA and Rutgers

Topping a perfect 32-0 season wasn’t a challenge for Quinn Buckner and Kent Benson of Indiana, defeating Michigan 86-68 in an uneventful Final Four. It was Coach Bobby Knight’s first National Championship.

6. 1988 Champion: Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas, Oklahoma, Arizona, Duke

Incredibly, #6 seed Kansas pulled the ultimate upset against #1 Oklahoma, winning the game 83-79. Danny Manning led the Jayhawks. It was Kansas’ first national title in nearly 50 years.

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Final Four Betting Tips

  1. Refresh your bankroll before Final Four Betting begins. Deposit early to avoid last minute credit card processing glitches.
  2. Monitor Final Four prop bets closely. Visit your sportsbook’s prop page regularly.
  3. Shop college basketball lines at multiple sportsbooks. SB3 has live odds here.
  4. Consider a 2 team parlay on the first two Final Four games if the numbers are favorable. Otherwise stick to straight bets only: spread, total or money line.

Best March Madness Buzzer Beaters

It takes less than 1 second!

March Madness Betting Tables and Reference

NCAA Div I Men’s Basketball Tournament Final Four Teams

NCAA Div I Men’s Basketball Tournament Final Four Teams
+ Taps out more teams
YearWinning TeamRunner UpFinal FourFinal Four
2018Villanova #1Michigan #3Kansas #1Loyola-Chicago #11
2017N. Carolina #1Gonzaga #1Oregon #3South Carolina #7
2016Villanova #2N. Carolina #1Oklahoma #2Syracuse #10
2015Duke #1Wisconsin #1Kentucky #1Michigan St. #7
2014Connecticut #7Kentucky #8Florida #1Wisconsin #2
2013Louisville #1Michigan #4Wichita St. #9Syracuse #4
2012Kentucky #1Kansas #2Louisville #4Ohio St. #2
2011UConn #3Butler #8Kentucky #4VCU #11
2010Duke #1Butler #5West Virginia #2Michigan St. #5
2009N. Carolina #1Michigan St. #2Villanova #3UConn #1
2008Kansas #1Memphis #1N. Carolina #1UCLA #1
2007Florida #1Ohio St. #1UCLA #2Georgetown #2
2006Florida #3UCLA #2George Mason #11LSU #4
2005N. Carolina #1Illinois #1Michigan St. #5Louisville #4
2004UConn #2Ga. Tech #3Duke #1Oklahoma St. #2
2003Syracuse #3Kansas #2Texas #1Marquette #3
2002Maryland #1Indiana #5Kansas #1Oklahoma #2
2001Duke #1Arizona #2Maryland #3Michigan St. #1
2000Michigan St. #1Florida #5Wisconsin #8N. Carolina #8
1999UConn #1Duke #1Ohio St. #4Michigan St. #1
1998Kentucky #2Utah #3Stanford #3N. Carolina #1
1997Arizona #4Kentucky #1N. Carolina #1Minnesota #1
1996Kentucky #1Syracuse #4Umass #1Miss. St. #5
1995UCLA #1Arkansas #2Oklahoma St. #4N. Carolina #2
1994Arkansas #1Duke #2Arizona #2Florida #3
1993N. Carolina #1Michigan #1Kansas #2Kentucky #1
1992Duke #1Michigan #6Indiana #2Cincinnati #4
1991Duke #1Kansas #3UNLV #1N. Carolina #2
1990UNLV #1Duke #3Georgia Tech #4Arkansas #4
1989Michigan #3Seton Hall #3Illinois #1Duke #2
1988Kansas #6Oklahoma #1Duke #2Arizona #1
1987Indiana #1Syracuse #2UNLV #1Providence #6
1986Louisville #2Duke #1LSU #11Kansas #1
1985Villanova #8Georgetown #1Memphis St. #2St. John's #1
1984Georgetown #1Houston #2Kentucky #1Virginia #7
1983N.C. State #6Houston #1Louisville #1Georgia #4
1982N. Carolina #1Georgetown #1Houston #6Louisville #3
1981Indiana #3N. Carolina #2Virginia #1LSU #1
1980Louisville #2UCLA #8Purdue #6Iowa #5
1979Michigan St. #2Indiana St. #1DePaul #2Pennsylvania #9
1978KentuckyDukeArkansasNotre Dame
1977MarquetteN. CarolinaUNLVUNC-Charlotte
1976IndianaMichiganUCLARutgers
1975UCLAKentuckyLouisvilleSyracuse
1974N.C. St.MarquetteUCLAKansas
1973UCLAMemphis St.IndianaProvidence
1972UCLAFlorida St.N. CarolinaLouisville
1971UCLAVillanovaWestern KentuckyKansas
1970UCLAJacksonvilleNew Mexico St.St. Bonaventure
1969UCLAPurdueDrakeN. Carolina
1968UCLAN. CarolinaOhio St.Houston
1967UCLADaytonHoustonN. Carolina
1966Texas WesternKentuckyDukeUtah
1965UCLAMichiganPrincetonWichita St.
1964UCLADukeMichiganKansas St.
1963Loyola (IL)CincinnatiDukeOregon St.
1962CincinnatiOhio St.Wake ForestUCLA
1961CincinnatiOhio St.St. Joseph's (PA)Utah
1960Ohio St.CaliforniaCincinnatiNYU
1959CaliforniaWest VirginiaCincinnatiLouisville
1958KentuckySeattleTempleKansas St.
1957N. CarolinaKansasSan FranciscoMichigan St.
1956San FranciscoIowaTempleSMU
1955San FranciscoLaSalleColoradoIowa
1954LaSalleBradleyPenn St.USC
1953IndianaKansasWashingtonLSU
1952KansasSt. John'sIllinoisSanta Clara
1951KentuckyKansas St.IllinoisOklahoma St.
1950CCNYBradleyN.C. St.Baylor
1949KentuckyOklahoma St.IllinoisOregon St.
1948KentuckyBaylorHoly CrossKansas St.
1947Holy CrossOklahomaTexasCCNY
1946Oklahoma St.N. CarolinaOhio St.California
1945Oklahoma St.NYUArkansasOhio St.
1944UtahDartmouthIowa St.Ohio St.
1943WyomingGeorgetownDePaulTexas
1942StanfordDartmouthColoradoKentucky
1941WisconsinWashington St.ArkansasPittsburgh
1940IndianaKansasDuquesneUSC
1939OregonOhio St.Oklahoma StVillanova

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Seed Performance

Seed Performance Through All Tournament Rounds 1985-2017
(Exs. 93.9% #2 make 2nd Round. 86.4% #1 make Sweet 16)
+ Taps out more Rounds
#R2S16E8F4F2WinOdds
1100.0%86.4%69.7%40.9%24.2%15.2%60.6%
293.9%62.9%46.2%21.2%9.8%3.8%15.2%
384.1%50.8%24.2%11.4%6.8%3.0%12.1%
480.3%47.0%15.9%9.8%2.3%0.8%3.0%
564.4%32.6%6.1%4.5%2.3%0.0%0.0%
662.9%32.6%10.6%2.3%1.5%0.8%3.0%
761.4%18.9%7.6%2.3%0.8%0.8%3.0%
850.8%9.8%6.1%3.8%2.3%0.8%3.0%
949.2%3.8%1.5%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1038.6%18.2%6.1%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1137.1%15.2%5.3%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1235.6%15.2%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1319.7%4.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1415.9%1.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
156.1%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
160.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
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NCAA D1 Basketball Final Fours by Team

NCAA D1 Basketball Final Fours by Team
TeamFinal Fours
North Carolina20
UCLA18
Kentucky17
Duke16
Kansas15
Ohio State11
Louisville10
Michigan State9
Indiana8
Michigan8
Arkansas6
Cincinnati6
Oklahoma State6
Syracuse6
Villanova6
Connecticut5
Florida5
Georgetown5
Houston5
Illinois5
Oklahoma5
Arizona4
Kansas State4
LSU4
UNLV4
Utah4
Wisconsin4
California3
Iowa3
Marquette3
Memphis3
NC State3
San Francisco3
Texas3
Baylor2
Bradley2
Butler2
CCNY2
Colorado2
Dartmouth2
DePaul2
Georgia Tech2
Holy Cross2
LaSalle2
Loyola-Chicago2
Maryland2
NYU2
Oregon2
Oregon State2
Providence2
Purdue2
St. John's2
Stanford2
Temple2
USC2
Virginia2
West Virginia2
Wichita State2
Charlotte1
Dayton1
Drake1
Duquesne1
Florida State1
George Mason1
Georgia1
Gonzaga1
Indiana State1
Iowa State1
Jacksonville1
Massachusetts1
Minnesota1
Mississippi State1
New Mexico State1
Notre Dame1
Penn State1
Pennsylvania1
Pittsburgh1
Princeton1
Rutgers1
Saint Joseph's1
Santa Clara1
Seattle1
Seton Hall1
SMU1
South Carolina1
St. Bonaventure1
UTEP1
VCU1
Wake Forest1
Washington1
Washington State1
Western Kentucky1
Wyoming1

NCAA D1 Basketball Final Twos by Team

NCAA D1 Basketball Final Twos by Team
TeamFinal Twos
UCLA13
Kentucky12
Duke11
North Carolina11
Kansas9
Michigan7
Indiana6
Ohio State5
Connecticut4
Georgetown4
Villanova4
Cincinnati3
Florida3
Louisville3
Michigan State3
Oklahoma State3
Syracuse3
Arizona2
Arkansas2
Bradley2
Butler2
California2
Dartmouth2
Houston2
LaSalle2
Marquette2
Memphis2
NC State2
Oklahoma2
San Francisco2
Utah2
Wisconsin2
Baylor1
CCNY1
Dayton1
Florida State1
Georgia Tech1
Gonzaga1
Holy Cross1
Illinois1
Indiana State1
Iowa1
Jacksonville1
Kansas State1
Loyola-Chicago1
Maryland1
NYU1
Oregon1
Purdue1
Seattle1
Seton Hall1
St. John's1
Stanford1
UNLV1
UTEP1
Washington State1
West Virginia1
Wyoming1

NCAA D1 Basketball Championships by Team

NCAA D1 Basketball Championships by Team
TeamChampionships
UCLA11
Kentucky8
North Carolina6
Duke5
Indiana5
Connecticut4
Kansas3
Louisville3
Villanova3
Cincinnati2
Florida2
Michigan State2
NC State2
Oklahoma State2
San Francisco2
Arizona1
Arkansas1
California1
CCNY1
Georgetown1
Holy Cross1
LaSalle1
Loyola-Chicago1
Marquette1
Maryland1
Michigan1
Ohio State1
Oregon1
Stanford1
Syracuse1
UNLV1
Utah1
UTEP1
Wisconsin1
Wyoming1
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Final Four Appearances and Percentage by Seed

Final Four Appearances and Percentage by Seed
SeedFinal Four
Appearances
Percentage
16540.63%
23320.63%
31811.25%
4148.75%
574.38%
663.75%
742.50%
863.75%
921.25%
1010.63%
1142.50%
1200.00%
1300.00%
1400.00%
1500.00%
1600.00%

References


sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/march-madness-betting-101-why-you-should-fade-public/70095
cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/final-four-betting-lines-odds-prop-bets/
thoughtco.com/march-madness-statistics-3126162
betfirm.com/seeds-national-championship-odds/
printyourbrackets.com/final-four-appearances-by-seed.html
usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/2013/04/02/final-four-rank-experts-best-1-to-15/2044593/
fansided.com/2017/03/31/best-final-four-teams-all-time-ncaa-tournament-history/
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NCAA_Division_I_Men%27s_Basketball_Tournament_Final_Four_participants