Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks, Advice and Tips

Here are my 2020 Kentucky Derby Trifecta picks. I’ve made my picks for a winning trifecta part wheel. Hitting a straight trifecta is extremely difficult. It’s better to wheel multiple horses into your trifecta bet. It’s a smart way to win more money with less risk.

Tiz The Law was made the morning line favorite as of Sept. 1, 2020. It’s the first time since 1989 the favorite horse opened with a 3-5 line. Now, let’s review my trifecta picks for this year’s race!

2020 Kentucky Derby Part Wheel Keys

  • 1: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Thousand Words
  • 2: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Authentic
  • 3: Tiz The Law, Thousand Words, Authentic, NY Traffic

Total Cost: $18, $1 per combination

2021 Kentucky Derby Futures Odds - All Available Horses
Last Updated March 5, 2021 1:33 pm
Outcomebovada Bovada
1. Life Is Good
2. Essential Quality
3. Concert Tour
4. Caddo River
5. Greatest Honour
6. Medina Spirit
7. Prevalence
8. Mandaloun
9. Risk Taking
10. The Great One
11. Highly Motivated
12. Jackie's Warrior
13. Prime Factor
14. Keepmeinmind
15. Dream Shake
16. Classier
17. Prate
18. Drain The Clock
19. Midnight Bourbon
20. Fenway
21. Proxy
22. Red Flag
23. Bezos
24. Candy Man Rocket
25. Hot Rod Charlie
26. Roman Centurian
27. Freedom Fighter
28. Senor Buscador
29. Editor In Chief
30. Savile Row
31. Swill
32. Reinvestment Risk
33. Jaxon Traveler
34. Santa Cruiser
35. Rock Your World
36. Rombauer
37. Sittin On Go
38. Amount
39. Olympiad
40. Smiley Sobotka
41. Capo Kane
42. Alain Barows
43. Speaker's Corner
44. Spielberg
45. Ghazaaly
46. Collaborate
47. Lamutanaatty
48. Swiftsure
49. Vittorio
50. Known Agenda
51. Dr. Schivel
52. Lemon Pop
53. Stage Raider
54. Founder
55. Starrininmydreams
56. Team Merchants
57. Brooklyn Strong
58. Ten For Ten
59. Tenor
60. Lidstorm
61. Nova Rags
62. Cowan
63. Defeater
64. Wipe The Slate
65. Whiskey Double
66. Arabian Prince
67. Never Surprised
68. Twilight Blue
69. Hyperfocus
70. Hidden Stash
71. Affable
72. Real Talk
73. Alexander Valley
74. Second of July
75. Lord of War
76. Super Stock
77. Ambivalent
78. Herd Immunity
79. Cazadero
80. Stayin' Out Late
81. By George
82. Therideofalifetime
83. Eagle Orb
84. Slashing
85. Broadway
86. Get Her Number
87. Boca boy
88. Isolate
89. Hendrick
90. King Fury
91. Runaway Magic
92. Awesome Gerry
93. Hold The Salsa
94. Ultimate Badger
95. Blue Gator
96. American Admiral
97. Golden Pal
98. Hendavid
99. Kenny Had A Notion
100. Swot Analysis
101. Overtook
102. Prisoner
103. Ascot Storm
104. Lugarno
105. Dynamic One
106. Angkor
107. Game Day Play
108. All Mo
109. Donegal Bay
110. Calibrate
111. Girther
112. Judge N Jury
113. Restored Order
114. Beep Beep
115. Tiz Handsome
116. Gagetown
117. Big Daddy Dave
118. Huntsinger
119. Find New Roads
120. Highway Bound
121. Beatbox
122. Thranduil
123. Belafonte
124. Effinity
125. Positivity
126. Baafeed
127. Al Heybay
128. Kwist
129. Run Snappy
130. Basso
131. Horn Of Plenty
132. Next
133. Upstriker
134. Engrave
135. Pico d'Oro
136. Fauci
137. Poppy's Pride
138. Wyfire
139. Scarlet Fusion
140. Advance Cash
141. Civil War
142. Momos
143. Dalton
144. Seminole Beach
145. Dyn O Mite
146. Parnelli
147. Bracken
148. Sonic Brees
149. Famous Gent
150. Inspector Frost
151. Pickin' Time
152. What's Up Surfer
153. Quick Tempo
154. Excellent Timing
155. Breeze On By
156. Roderick
157. Tacoflavouredkisses
158. Work Out
159. Bob's Edge
160. Proud Contender
161. Cousin Larry
162. Seazan
163. Uno
164. Oncoming Train
165. Weyburn
166. Big Flame
167. Eucharist
168. Sound The Charge
169. Waspirant
170. Rosenquist
171. Boomer
172. Xtreme Mayhem
173. Outadore
174. Ampersand
175. Chicks For Free
176. Lookin For Trouble
177. Schnell
178. Drop Anchor
179. Notary
180. Warrior's Pride
181. Ethical Judgement
182. Son Of A Beast
183. Waist Deep
184. Return The Ring
185. Bolden
186. Garoppolo
187. Raison d'Air
188. Superman Shaq
189. Shaftesbury
190. Ricochet
191. Camp Hope
192. Likeable
193. Saffa's Day
194. Dreamer's Disease
195. Notable Exception
196. Touchdown Brown
197. Joe Frazier
198. Weston
199. No Cents
200. Valiant Thor
201. Erawan
202. Bold Minister
203. Fury Cap
204. It Can Be Done
205. Hopkins
206. Scarred
207. My Man Bags
208. Kahnua Magic
209. Cajun Commander
210. Hercules
211. Crazy Shot
212. North Pole
213. Tiz Mandate
214. Va Va Vegas

Cached 2021-03-05 14:04:06

Ways to bet Trifectas

There are 3 ways to bet trifectas. The most common is the straight trifecta. It’s also the most difficult to reliably win. Trifecta Boxes and Wheels are solid alternatives. You can add more than 3 horses to your trifecta bet. This increases the likelihood of winning with a higher investment upfront.

The following video explains how to place a wheel bet. The procedure is the same for exactas and superfectas. Watch the entire video for help with other bets!

  1. Straight Trifecta Bet – Pick 3 horses to finish in the top 3 positions. Final order matters.
  2. Trifecta Box Bet – Pick any number of horses to finish in the top 3 positions. Final order does not matter.
  3. Trifecta Part Wheel Bet – Select horses to key into each position: first, second and third. Final order does matter depending on how you key each horse.

Efficiency Matters

Trifecta Boxes are more likely to win because final order does not matter. But a box is less efficient than a wheel because you end up buying more combinations than you need.

Trifecta Part Wheels are harder to win because you must select and key horses correctly. However a part wheel is more efficient than a box. You will invest less bankroll to potentially win more money.

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Kentucky Derby Trifecta Betting Advice

I recommend a 5 horse Trifecta Part Wheel, keying 3 horses in the first and second position, then 4 horses in the third. Why?

A 5 horse Trifecta Box costs $60, $1 per combination. But a 5 horse Trifecta Part Wheel using my recommendations is only $18, $1 per combination.

That means our 4th horse must finish second or third. I add a less-likely 5th horse to finish third, just to cover the bases.

You’ll be making a more efficient bet with higher profit potential. And you’ll be way ahead of the novices betting it all on one horse!

Picking 5 horses to finish first, second or third shouldn’t be hard. Plus you get bonus horse for the third key.

How to Key Horses in a Trifecta Part Wheel

Review this clip from our “How to Bet on Horses” video tutorial. I’ll discuss this wager and each horse below.

Let’s assemble our Trifecta Part Wheel keys from the table above. As of writing, Tiz The Law is the heavy favorite. He’ll be put in all 3 keys.

2020 Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks - Tiz The Law
2020 Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks – Tiz The Law

Tiz the Law has been undefeated since February 1, 2020, when he won the G3 Holy Bull stakes. Since then, he’s won the G1 Florida Derby, Belmont Stakes and most recently the G1 Travers Stakes on August 8, 2020.

Tiz the Law’s Belmont Stakes win was convincing. He ran with the leaders for most of the race, pulling away as he approached the homestretch for a decisive victory over the field. No other horses challenged him at the finish.

Now let’s pick 1 more horse for our first and second keys.

Kentucky Derby 2020 Trifecta Picks - Honor A P
Kentucky Derby 2020 Trifecta Picks – Honor A P

Honor A P last raced at Del Mar on August 1, 2020, where he finished second at the Shared Belief Stakes. Prior to that, he won the G1 Santa Anita Derby on June 6, 2020. On March 7, 2020 he placed second in the G2 San Felipe Stakes, also at Santa Anita. This Saturday he’ll face Thousand Words and Authentic again, who won the Shared Belief Stakes and San Felipe Stakes, respectively.

The Rest: Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks

Now, a 3rd horse for our first and third keys. After, a 4th horse for the second and third keys. Finally, a 5th horse for the third key only.

Thousand Words will be the 3rd horse found in our 1st and 3rd keys. He’s trained by Bob Baffert. He won the Shared Belief Stakes and was second at the July 4, 2020 Los Alamitos Derby.

Authentic will be the fourth horse found in our second and third keys. He’s Baffert’s second horse in the Kentucky Derby. He won this year’s G1 Haskell Stakes edging out NY Traffic. He finished behind behind race winner Honor A P at the Santa Anita Derby on June 6, 2020. Authentic had previously defeated Honor A P at the San Felipe Stakes in March 2020.

NY Traffic will be the fifth horse found in our third key. He has a string of second place finishes heading into the Derby: Haskell Stakes, Matt Winn and Louisiana Derby. His last win was a Gulfstream Park Allowance on January 11, 2020.

MSW means “Maiden Special Weight”. It’s a race reserved for horses who have never won a race.

2020 Kentucky Derby Part Wheel Keys

  • 1: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Thousand Words
  • 2: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Authentic
  • 3: Tiz The Law, Thousand Words, Authentic, NY Traffic

Total Cost: $18, $1 per combination

How to Place a Kentucky Derby Trifecta Wheel Bet?
Visit our recommended online race books below. Wait until the field is set and each horse is assigned a starting position. Fill out your Trifecta Wheel ticket with each horse’s corresponding number. Then sit back and get rich!

Good luck from Ron Halfback and the SportsBetting3.com gang!

Tables and Reference

See Also
Online Horse Betting Sites
Win Place Show Betting
USA Race Book Deposit Methods, Kentucky Derby

More Trifecta betting information, cost tables and advice:

  1. Trifecta Wheel Betting – Includes trifecta wheel equation, calculations and cost tables.
  2. Trifecta Box Betting – Discussion of Trifecta Box Bet, cost calculation and tables

References


horseracingnation.com/horse/Tiz_The_Law
horseracingnation.com/horse/Honor_A_p
horseracingnation.com/horse/Thousand_Words_1
horseracingnation.com/horse/Authentic_1
horseracingnation.com/horse/Ny_traffic
equibase.com/newfan/codes.cfm
buffalonews.com/sports/post-time-tiz-the-law-looks-to-tame-travers-field/article_84763466-d8d2-11ea-bf73-2b518723bd43.html
drf.com/news/kentucky-derby-smith-shirreffs-feeling-good-after-honor-ps-final-drill
Featured Image: courier-journal.com/story/sports/horses/kentucky-derby/2019/04/14/kentucky-derby-roadster-could-favorite-battaglia-says/3466491002/