Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks, Advice and Tips

Here are my 2020 Kentucky Derby Trifecta picks. I’ve made my picks for a winning trifecta part wheel. Hitting a straight trifecta is extremely difficult. It’s better to wheel multiple horses into your trifecta bet. It’s a smart way to win more money with less risk.

Tiz The Law was made the morning line favorite as of Sept. 1, 2020. It’s the first time since 1989 the favorite horse opened with a 3-5 line. Now, let’s review my trifecta picks for this year’s race!

2020 Kentucky Derby Part Wheel Keys

  • 1: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Thousand Words
  • 2: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Authentic
  • 3: Tiz The Law, Thousand Words, Authentic, NY Traffic

Total Cost: $18, $1 per combination

2021 Kentucky Derby Futures Odds - All Available Horses
Last Updated November 23, 2020 1:32 pm
Outcomebovada Bovada
1. Essential Quality
2. Life Is Good
3. Jackie's Warrior
4. Editor In Chief
5. Highly Motivated
6. Classier
7. Sittin On Go
8. Red Flag
9. Keepmeinmind
10. Calibrate
11. Swill
12. Caddo River
13. Reinvestment Risk
14. Hot Rod Charlie
15. Get Her Number
16. Freedom Fighter
17. Dr. Schivel
18. Wolfie's Dynaghost
19. Team Merchants
20. Rombauer
21. Jaxon Traveler
22. Cazadero
23. Speaker's Corner
24. Whiskey Double
25. Prisoner
26. Vittorio
27. Olympiad
28. Uncle Boogie
29. Huntsinger
30. Stayin' Out Late
31. Founder
32. Spielberg
33. Midnight Bourbon
34. Mutasaabeq
35. Sonic Brees
36. Momos
37. Second of July
38. Weston
39. Game Day Play
40. Santa Cruiser
41. Ten For Ten
42. Gagetown
43. Pickin' Time
44. Super Stock
45. Angkor
46. No Cents
47. Starrininmydreams
48. Hyperfocus
49. Therideofalifetime
50. Hidden Stash
51. Smiley Sobotka
52. Saffa's Day
53. Next
54. Likeable
55. Real Talk
56. King Fury
57. Effinity
58. Eagle Orb
59. Boca boy
60. Uno
61. Camp Hope
62. Slashing
63. Girther
64. Lugarno
65. Brooklyn Strong
66. Seminole Beach
67. Eucharist
68. Judge N Jury
69. Bolden
70. Roderick
71. Ethical Judgement
72. Waist Deep
73. Isolate
74. Bold Minister
75. Raison d'Air
76. Cousin Larry
77. Upstriker
78. Inspector Frost
79. Awesome Gerry
80. Nova Rags
81. Chicks For Free
82. Sound The Charge
83. Herd Immunity
84. Mandaloun
85. Kwist
86. Ascot Storm
87. Tiz Handsome
88. Fauci
89. Hold The Salsa
90. Ambivalent
91. Thranduil
92. Cajun Commander
93. Work Out
94. Highway Bound
95. Run Snappy
96. Breeze On By
97. Waspirant
98. Hendrick
99. Restored Order
100. Blue Gator
101. Ultimate Badger
102. Hendavid
103. Positivity
104. Belafonte
105. Twilight Blue
106. Fury Cap
107. Tacoflavouredkisses
108. Big Daddy Dave
109. Son Of A Beast
110. Schnell
111. It Can Be Done
112. Hercules
113. Xtreme Mayhem
114. Garoppolo
115. Valiant Thor
116. Big Flame
117. Poppy's Pride
118. Ampersand
119. Kenny Had A Notion
120. Wyfire
121. Al Heybay
122. Horn Of Plenty
123. What's Up Surfer
124. Dalton
125. Superman Shaq
126. Boomer
127. Seazan
128. Basso
129. Advance Cash
130. Lookin For Trouble
131. Famous Gent

Ways to bet Trifectas

There are 3 ways to bet trifectas. The most common is the straight trifecta. It’s also the most difficult to reliably win. Trifecta Boxes and Wheels are solid alternatives. You can add more than 3 horses to your trifecta bet. This increases the likelihood of winning with a higher investment upfront.

The following video explains how to place a wheel bet. The procedure is the same for exactas and superfectas. Watch the entire video for help with other bets!

  1. Straight Trifecta Bet – Pick 3 horses to finish in the top 3 positions. Final order matters.
  2. Trifecta Box Bet – Pick any number of horses to finish in the top 3 positions. Final order does not matter.
  3. Trifecta Part Wheel Bet – Select horses to key into each position: first, second and third. Final order does matter depending on how you key each horse.

Efficiency Matters

Trifecta Boxes are more likely to win because final order does not matter. But a box is less efficient than a wheel because you end up buying more combinations than you need.

Trifecta Part Wheels are harder to win because you must select and key horses correctly. However a part wheel is more efficient than a box. You will invest less bankroll to potentially win more money.

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Kentucky Derby Trifecta Betting Advice

I recommend a 5 horse Trifecta Part Wheel, keying 3 horses in the first and second position, then 4 horses in the third. Why?

A 5 horse Trifecta Box costs $60, $1 per combination. But a 5 horse Trifecta Part Wheel using my recommendations is only $18, $1 per combination.

That means our 4th horse must finish second or third. I add a less-likely 5th horse to finish third, just to cover the bases.

You’ll be making a more efficient bet with higher profit potential. And you’ll be way ahead of the novices betting it all on one horse!

Picking 5 horses to finish first, second or third shouldn’t be hard. Plus you get bonus horse for the third key.

How to Key Horses in a Trifecta Part Wheel

Review this clip from our “How to Bet on Horses” video tutorial. I’ll discuss this wager and each horse below.

Let’s assemble our Trifecta Part Wheel keys from the table above. As of writing, Tiz The Law is the heavy favorite. He’ll be put in all 3 keys.

2020 Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks - Tiz The Law
2020 Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks – Tiz The Law

Tiz the Law has been undefeated since February 1, 2020, when he won the G3 Holy Bull stakes. Since then, he’s won the G1 Florida Derby, Belmont Stakes and most recently the G1 Travers Stakes on August 8, 2020.

Tiz the Law’s Belmont Stakes win was convincing. He ran with the leaders for most of the race, pulling away as he approached the homestretch for a decisive victory over the field. No other horses challenged him at the finish.

Now let’s pick 1 more horse for our first and second keys.

Kentucky Derby 2020 Trifecta Picks - Honor A P
Kentucky Derby 2020 Trifecta Picks – Honor A P

Honor A P last raced at Del Mar on August 1, 2020, where he finished second at the Shared Belief Stakes. Prior to that, he won the G1 Santa Anita Derby on June 6, 2020. On March 7, 2020 he placed second in the G2 San Felipe Stakes, also at Santa Anita. This Saturday he’ll face Thousand Words and Authentic again, who won the Shared Belief Stakes and San Felipe Stakes, respectively.

The Rest: Kentucky Derby Trifecta Picks

Now, a 3rd horse for our first and third keys. After, a 4th horse for the second and third keys. Finally, a 5th horse for the third key only.

Thousand Words will be the 3rd horse found in our 1st and 3rd keys. He’s trained by Bob Baffert. He won the Shared Belief Stakes and was second at the July 4, 2020 Los Alamitos Derby.

Authentic will be the fourth horse found in our second and third keys. He’s Baffert’s second horse in the Kentucky Derby. He won this year’s G1 Haskell Stakes edging out NY Traffic. He finished behind behind race winner Honor A P at the Santa Anita Derby on June 6, 2020. Authentic had previously defeated Honor A P at the San Felipe Stakes in March 2020.

NY Traffic will be the fifth horse found in our third key. He has a string of second place finishes heading into the Derby: Haskell Stakes, Matt Winn and Louisiana Derby. His last win was a Gulfstream Park Allowance on January 11, 2020.

MSW means “Maiden Special Weight”. It’s a race reserved for horses who have never won a race.

2020 Kentucky Derby Part Wheel Keys

  • 1: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Thousand Words
  • 2: Tiz The Law, Honor A P, Authentic
  • 3: Tiz The Law, Thousand Words, Authentic, NY Traffic

Total Cost: $18, $1 per combination

How to Place a Kentucky Derby Trifecta Wheel Bet?
Visit our recommended online race books below. Wait until the field is set and each horse is assigned a starting position. Fill out your Trifecta Wheel ticket with each horse’s corresponding number. Then sit back and get rich!

Good luck from Ron Halfback and the SportsBetting3.com gang!

Tables and Reference

See Also
Online Horse Betting Sites
Win Place Show Betting
USA Race Book Deposit Methods, Kentucky Derby

More Trifecta betting information, cost tables and advice:

  1. Trifecta Wheel Betting – Includes trifecta wheel equation, calculations and cost tables.
  2. Trifecta Box Betting – Discussion of Trifecta Box Bet, cost calculation and tables

References


horseracingnation.com/horse/Tiz_The_Law
horseracingnation.com/horse/Honor_A_p
horseracingnation.com/horse/Thousand_Words_1
horseracingnation.com/horse/Authentic_1
horseracingnation.com/horse/Ny_traffic
equibase.com/newfan/codes.cfm
buffalonews.com/sports/post-time-tiz-the-law-looks-to-tame-travers-field/article_84763466-d8d2-11ea-bf73-2b518723bd43.html
drf.com/news/kentucky-derby-smith-shirreffs-feeling-good-after-honor-ps-final-drill
Featured Image: courier-journal.com/story/sports/horses/kentucky-derby/2019/04/14/kentucky-derby-roadster-could-favorite-battaglia-says/3466491002/